Impact of Kurdish Independence in the Region

June 2017 No Comments

1. How have regional governments responded to Ma’soud Barzani’s announcement of a referendum on Iraqi Kurdish independence to be held in September? 2. How have different sub-state groups responded, to include different Kurdish factions in Iraq and across borders? 3. How are the Kurds using the independence referendum to leverage their interests? Author | Editor: […]

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China’s Expansion into South Asia, Middle East and Africa

June 2017 No Comments

Question (R4.9): What are the medium to long term implications to US interests and posture of China’s economic, diplomatic and military expansion into South Asia, Middle East and Africa? Author | Editor: Hayes Ellis, D. (University of Maryland). Executive Summary “It’s the Economy Stupid!” Perhaps unsurprisingly, all the contributors to this question devoted attention to […]

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Examining Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia

June 2017 No Comments

Author | Editor: Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). The EUCOM video highlights work NSI did in collaboration with the Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) office and the US Department of Defense to apply NSI’s Virtual Think Tank (ViTTa) methodology to examine potential drivers of conflict and convergence in Eurasia over the next 5-25 years. For access to […]

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Defining and Validating the Gray Zone Using ViTTa

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Author | Editor: Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). The Defining The Gray Zone video discusses how the gray zone is a conceptual space between peace and war, where activities are typically ambiguous or cloud attribution and exceed the threshold of ordinary competition, yet intentionally fall below the level of large-scale direct military conflict. This video highlights […]

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Will Physical Defeat of ISIS Eliminate Threat it Poses

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Author | Editor: Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). The Physical Defeat of ISIS video addresses if a physical defeat of ISIS fully eliminate the threat it poses? Highlighting some of the work NSI has conducted as part of a Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) team Reach Back Cell in support of USCENTCOM, this video discusses the future […]

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Senturion Modeling in Support of Project Noor

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Author | Editor: Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). The Senturion Modeling Project Noor video provides a brief overview of the Senturion modeling and simulation effort in support of the Strategic Multi-Layer Assessment (SMA) team’s Project Noor. For more information on Project Noor itself, please visit: Project Noor Video

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US-DiGIA: USG Discoverable Information Terrain

June 2017 No Comments

US-DiGIA: Mapping the USG Discoverable Information Terrain. Author | Editor: Bragg, B., Pagano, S. & Stevenson, J. (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary The United States currently faces a complex and dynamic security environment. States are no longer the only critical actors in the international arena; rather, a diverse range of non-state entities also has the potential […]

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Geographic Services: Human Geography Data Analytics

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Author | Editor: Sutherlin, G. (GSI, Inc).   GSI’s geospatial relational database visualizes SMA data at a human scale supporting planners and CoA development. The relationships between the actors, groups, socio-cultural attributes and key events are shown as a geolocated network. This allows for navigation of physical and cognitive environments. SMA responses are modelled and […]

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Int’l Norms Transgressions Magnify Gray Zone Challenges

June 2017 No Comments

Violating Normal: How International Norms Transgressions Magnify Gray Zone Challenges. Author | Editor: Stevenson, J., Bragg, B. & Pagano, S. (NSI, Inc.). Overview The current international system presents multiple potential challenges to US interests. In recent years, state actors, especially but not limited to Russia and China, have taken actions that disrupt regional stability and […]

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Gray Zone Deterrence: What It Is and How (Not) to Do It

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Gray Zone Deterrence: What It Is and How (Not) to Do It. Author | Editor: Stevenson, J. (NSI, Inc.). Overview In recent years, state actors, especially but not limited to Russia and China, have increasingly engaged in what the US Government has labeled “gray zone challenges.”1 These are actions that disrupt regional stability and potentially […]

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