International Transgressions Magnify Gray Zone Challenges
Violating normal: How international norms transgressions magnify gray zone challenges. Author | Editor: Stevenson, J., Bragg, B., & Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc). The current international system presents multiple potential challenges to US interests. In recent years, state actors, especially but not limited to Russia and China, have taken actions that disrupt regional stability and […]
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Specifying and Systematizing the Gray Zone
Specifying and systematizing how we think about the Gray Zone. Author | Editor: Bragg, B., Polansky (Pagano), S., & Stevenson, J. (NSI, Inc). In their continued work on the changing nature of the threat environment General Votel et al (2016) forecast that the majority of threats to US security interests in coming years will be […]
Continue ReadingCommerce in the Strait of Hormuz
Question: What internal factors would influence Iran’s decision to interfere with the free flow of commerce in the Strait of Hormuz or the Bab el Mandeb? Author | Editor: Bragg, B. & Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc). Iran’s Strategic Interests All of the SMEs either directly or indirectly referenced Iran’s strategic interests, and how these […]
Continue ReadingSpecifying and Systematizing the Gray Zone
Specifying & systematizing how we think about the Gray Zone. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). In their continued work on the changing nature of the threat environment General Votel et al forecast that the majority of threats to US security interests in coming years will be found in a ‘gray zone’ between acceptable […]
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Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia (ExecSum)
Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years — Integration Report: Executive Summary. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). This project identified threats and opportunities in Eurasia (with particular emphasis on USEUCOM area of responsibility (AOR) countries). This report provides an overview of the regional issues identified by the US, […]
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Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia (Integration)
Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years — Integration Report. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). Evaluating strategic risk in the Eurasia region over the next two to three decades is a complex challenge that is vital for USEUCOM planning and mission success. The depth of our understanding of […]
Continue ReadingViTTa Analysis of Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years
Research to Identify Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years: Virtual Think Tank (ViTTa) Summary Report. Author | Editor: Canna, S., Bragg, B., Desjardins, A., Popp, G. & Yager, M. (NSI, Inc). From July through November 2015, NSI employed its Virtual Think Tank (ViTTa) methodology to systematically interview 26 subject […]
Continue ReadingConflict and Convergence in the Asia-Pacific Region
Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in the Asia-Pacific Region in the Next 5-25 Years. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). USPACOM requested that the Strategic Multi-layer Assessment (SMA) team conduct an “Examination of future political, security, societal, and economic trends to identify where US interests are in cooperation or conflict with Chinese and other […]
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Megacities: Socio-cultural Analysis Dhaka, Bangladesh
SMA Megacities: Deep Dive Application of two socio-cultural frameworks to a flood event in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Author | Editor: Bragg, B,, Brickman, D., Canna, S. & Desjardins, A. (NSI, Inc). The Strategic-Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Megacity Reconnaissance, Surveillance, and Intelligence (M- RSI) project seeks to aid United States Pacific Command (USPACOM) in understanding socio-cultural dynamics within […]
Continue ReadingStability Modeling (StaM) Analysis of Nigeria
Stability Model Users’ Guide: Incorporating StaM Analysis of Nigeria for Illustration. Author | Editor: Bragg, B., Brickman, D., Desjardins, A., Popp, G. & Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc). Over the past decade the United States Government has recognized the importance of obtaining a rich contextual understanding of the operating environment, specifically focusing on the human […]
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