Deterrence and Space Warfare

January 2024 No Comments

Author: Dr. John Klein (Delta Solutions & Strategies, LCC) Publication Preview The strategy of space warfare is a subset of general warfare strategy; therefore, the ideas of deterrence, compellence, and dissuasion have applicability in the space domain. Even though deterrence has a legitimate role in future space strategy, it is not the panacea for preventing […]

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The Russian Way of Deterrence: Strategic Culture, Coercion, and War

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Speaker: Professor Dmitry (Dima) Adamsky (School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy at Reichman University) Date: 23 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Russia entered the war in Ukraine with a strategic approach to deterrence, intending to: 1) deter direct involvement by adversaries, 2) paralyze NATO’s assertiveness in the region, and 3) secure the surrender of Kiev. […]

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Report on Building US Responses to Russia’s Threats to use Nonstrategic Nuclear Weapons – A Game Theoretic Analysis of Brinkmanship

January 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Krista S. Langeland (Deputy Lead, RAND Space Enterprise Initiative; Senior Physical Scientist); Mr. Clinton Reach (RAND) Date: 16 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Vladimir Putin expected a quick Russian victory after ordering the invasion of Ukraine. However, the war has prolonged, and there is now a possibility that Ukraine might achieve a military victory. […]

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Constructing Killwebs for Effects Based Targeting in Multi-Domain Operations

January 2024 No Comments

Speaker: COL Brian Davis (Northeast Asia Regional Fusion Cell, US Forces Korea) Date: 9 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary A kill web is defined as a network map of a collection of kill chains. Colonel (COL) Davis used the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) as a case study to illustrate how a kill web […]

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Hybrid Warfare: Guile Born Out of Weakness

January 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Curtis Fox (Author of Hybrid Warfare: The Russian Approach to Strategic Competition & Conventional Military Conflict) Date: 11 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Russia’s historical strategy to protect its sovereign borders and security environment has been to act aggressively with its military, attempting to constantly expand its borders. This aggressive expansion has been a […]

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How do Non-state Entities Taking Actions in a Crisis or Conflict Impact Escalation and Deterrence?

December 2023 No Comments

Speaker: Dr. Anna Péczeli (LLNL) Date: 14 December 2023 Speaker Session Summary Non-state actors have increased in number, their interest in international relations, and influence since the end of the Cold War. These actors include various entities such as financial institutions, terrorist organizations, and private companies. Dr. Péczeli discussed how these institutions affect deterrence, nuclear […]

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French and British Nuclear Thinking in the ‘Three Body Problem’ Era

December 2023 No Comments

Speakers: Dr. Bruno Tertrais (Foundation for Strategic Research) and Professor Malcom Chalmers (RUSI) Speaker Session Summary France and Britain are part of a Western democratic alliance; however, they have developed their own unique perspectives on nuclear deterrence, issues such as the three-body problem, and how to best confront Russian aggression. Both speakers, Dr. Tertais and […]

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Ansar Bayt al-Maqdis (ABM) and its Ties to Hamas

December 2023 No Comments

Speaker: Dr. Zana Gul (University of Stirling) Date: 7 December 2023 Speaker Session Summary Wilayat Sinai (WS), formerly known as Ansar Bayt al-Maqdis (ABM), is an Egyptian-based extremist group that is active in the Sinai Peninsula. The group seeks to influence the region’s politics and establish a state of the Islamic State of Iraq and […]

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China’s Use of Armed Coercion

November 2023 No Comments

Speaker: Mr. James Siebens (Stimson Center) Date: 5 December 2023 Speaker Session Summary China has become a regional power in the Asia-Pacific with minimal use of its armed forces. However, the buildup of its armed forces was still an important factor in China’s ascension to great power status. Mr. Siebens’ presentation was based on his […]

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Degrading Adversaries’ Military Effectiveness: Uses of Generative AI

October 2023 No Comments

Panelists:  Lt Gen Jack Shanahan (USAF, Ret, Former Director Joint Artificial Intelligence Center), Tim Hwang (Author & Researcher), Jon Bateman (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace); Moderator: Dr. Nicholas Wright (Georgetown University) Date: 30 November 2023 Speaker Session Summary Generative artificial intelligence (AI) is impacting the current threat environment and showing that it can erode the […]

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