Integrated Deterrence Reachback Study
Author: Dr. Sabrina Polansky (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This work was situated within the broader Strategic Multilayer Assessment Strategic Deterrence Frameworks (SDF) study, which incorporated four lines of effort (LOEs) […]
Continue ReadingChallenges to 21st Century Deterrence (Part III)
Speakers: Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI) and Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI) Date: 7 January 2022 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a panel discussion with Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI) and Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI) as as part of its SMA STRATCOM Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure Speaker Series. As US adversaries reach nuclear parity—or near nuclear parity—with the US, […]
Continue ReadingThe Shape of the Future Operating Environment: How Our Adversaries Have Learned to Stop Worrying and Ignore the Bomb
Author: Bragg, B. (NSI) Video Preview In July of this year, at the request of USSTRATCOM, SMA initiated an effort to address eight questions regarding the implications of the increasing numbers, and expanding capabilities, of US nuclear adversaries. This report addresses two of those questions: [Q2] What are US competitors (Russia, China, Iran, DPRK) doing […]
Continue ReadingSMA 21st Century Strategic Challenges: Strategy and Planning for Diterrence and Triterrence
Author: Astorino-Courtois, A. (NSI) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Question of Focus [Q1] Does deterrence theory change if the US faces two nuclear-armed, near-peer competitors? If so, how? What are the impacts to strategy? If not, […]
Continue ReadingSino-Russian Competition: Self-Inflicted Competition in Central Asia?
Authors: Sarah Canna (NSI, Inc.) and Eric Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Preview China and Russia support each other’s political and economic objectives both globally and in the USCENTCOM area of responsibility […]
Continue ReadingAssessing Buffers and Drivers of Conflict in the Arab Gulf
Authors: Weston Aviles (NSI, Inc.); Tom Rieger (NSI, Inc.); and Alex Goncharova (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Bottom Line Up Front Experts contend that the risk of militarization of the dispute between Qatar and the Quartet is low. However, prolonged tension […]
Continue ReadingPotential Paths to Instability in Jordan
Authors: Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.), Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI, Inc.), & Tom Rieger (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Bottom Line What would be the strongest catalyst leading to a civil war/revolt in Jordan? It is […]
Continue ReadingStability in US-Egyptian Relations: Why the United States is Unlikely to Make a Major Policy Shift in Response to Egyptian Events
Authors: Sabrina (Pagano) Polansky (NSI, Inc.); and Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. NSI Reachback Report Preview The United States’ relationship with Egypt is generally thought to be an important one […]
Continue ReadingDealing with Radicalization in IDP Camps
Authors: Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.); Ali Jafri (NSI, Inc.); and Eric Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. NSI Reachback Report Preview The Middle Eastern region of the USCENTCOM area of responsibility (AOR) currently […]
Continue ReadingCommon Characteristics of “Successful” Deradicalization Programs of the Past
Authors: George Popp (NSI, Inc.); Sarah Canna (NSI, Inc.); and Jeff Day (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. NSI Reachback Report Preview There is no “one size fits all” approach to disengagement and deradicalization—disengagement […]
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