Part IV: Results of 5 of 8 Conflicts in Iraqi-Syria
Part IV: Analysis of the Dynamics of Near East Futures: Assessing Actor Interests, Resolve and Capability in 5 of the 8 Regional Conflicts. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This briefing is the final part of a four-part study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. Part II describes the system […]
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Part III: Use Case Analysis of Iraqi-Syrian Conflict
Unpacking the Regional Conflict System surrounding Iraq and Syria—Part III: Implications for the Regional Future: Syria Example of Actor Interests, Resolve and Capabilities Analysis. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This is Part III of a larger study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. Part I described the system and […]
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Part II: Assessing Dynamics of the Iraqi-Syrian Conflict
Unpacking the Regional Conflict System surrounding Iraq and Syria—Part II: Method for Assessing the Dynamics of the Conflict System, or, There are no sides—only interests. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This is Part II of a larger study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. Part I described the system […]
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Part I: Characterizing the Iraqi-Syrian Conflict System
Unpacking the Regional Conflict System surrounding Iraq and Syria—Part I: Characterizing the System. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This is Part I of a larger study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. It describes the system and why it is critical to assess U.S. security interests and activities in […]
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Foreign Approaches to Gray Zone Conflicts
Foreign Approaches to Gray Zone Conflicts. Author | Editor: National Intelligence Council. The purposeful application of multiple elements of power—information, economic, military, political—to achieve objectives in ways that exceed the threshold for normal competition yet fall below the level of major interstate war. “Gray Zone cannot mean everything if it is to mean anything.” “Gray […]
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Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia (ExecSum)
Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years — Integration Report: Executive Summary. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). This project identified threats and opportunities in Eurasia (with particular emphasis on USEUCOM area of responsibility (AOR) countries). This report provides an overview of the regional issues identified by the US, […]
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Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia (Integration)
Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years — Integration Report. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). Evaluating strategic risk in the Eurasia region over the next two to three decades is a complex challenge that is vital for USEUCOM planning and mission success. The depth of our understanding of […]
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Bio-Psycho-Social of Violence and Terrorism
Assessing and Anticipating Threats to US Security Interests: A Bio-Psycho-Social Science Approach for Understanding the Emergence of and Mitigating Violence and Terrorism. Author | Editor: Giordano, J. (Georgetown University Medical Center). This white paper represents the work of intra- and extramural subject matter experts (SMEs) from multiple disciplines, convened to provide views and insights to […]
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ViTTa Analysis of Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years
Research to Identify Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years: Virtual Think Tank (ViTTa) Summary Report. Author | Editor: Canna, S., Bragg, B., Desjardins, A., Popp, G. & Yager, M. (NSI, Inc). From July through November 2015, NSI employed its Virtual Think Tank (ViTTa) methodology to systematically interview 26 subject […]
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Thematic Analysis of Russian and NATO Speeches
Identification of Security Issues and their Importance to Russia, Its Near-abroad and NATO Allies: A Thematic Analysis of Leadership Speeches. Author | Editor: Kuznar, L. & Yager, M. (NSI, Inc). This study addresses key questions posed in the SMA EUCOM project by using thematic analysis of speeches from leaders of state and non-state polities in […]
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