How Seasonal Migration May Reduce Security Threats from Climate-Induced Migration
Author | Editor: Schon, J. (University of Florida); Yager, M. (NSI, Inc.) Invited Perspective Preview There are estimates that by 2050, roughly 150 million people will be internally displaced. This displacement is also expected to turn into international migration and refugee flows, as displaced populations search for areas where they have a chance to survive and prosper. In this piece, I will show that […]
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Summary of NSI’s “Assessment to Collapse in the DPRK: A NSI Pathways™ Report—Featured in Red Diamond Volume 10, Issue 1
Authors | Editors: Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc.); Laster, N. (US Army TRADOC G2) This article was featured in Volume 10, Issue 1 of the US Army Training and Doctrine Command’s (TRADOC G2) journal, entitled Red Diamond. Journal Article Preview Following the collapse of the North Korean economy and disastrous famine of the mid- 1990s, […]
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A Flexible Framework to Achieve Strategic Objectives in US-China Policy
Author(s): Jiang, M. (Creighton University) Publication Preview The United States must adopt a new overarching strategy to guide US-China relations moving forward. Neither the traditional approach of engagement intended to promote democratic ideals, nor more recent confrontational practices, have worked. There is an urgent need for a new strategic framework that embraces Chinese political and […]
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A Stable Nuclear Future? The Impact of Autonomous Systems and Artificial Intelligence
Speaker: Horowitz, M. (University of Pennsylvania) Date: 18 March 2020 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Michael Horowitz (University of Pennsylvania) as a part of its SMA STRATCOM Academic Alliance Speaker Series. Dr. Horowitz began by explaining how nuclear technologies are shaping global politics. He used the global telegraph program, the Cuban missile crisis, the Campaign […]
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The Coronavirus Pandemic
Speakers: Bar-Yam, Y. (New England Complex Systems Institute [NECSI]) Date: 19 March 2020 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Yaneer Bar-Yam (New England Complex Systems Institute [NECSI]) as a part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Dr. Bar-Yam first stated that decisions matter. Rapid response planning and determining how to execute a plan quickly is best understood from a military […]
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Assessment of Strategic Implications of Population Dynamics in the Central Region—Integration Report: Black Swan Scenarios
Authors | Editors: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.); Canna, S. (NSI, Inc.); Popp, G. (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview At the request of United States Central Command (USCENTCOM), SMA initiated a study to understand the strategic implications of destabilizing population dynamics within the Central Region. The effort examined drivers of instability in the region emerging from radicalization, great power competition, state-level […]
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Assessment of Strategic Implications of Population Dynamics in the Central Region—Integration Report: State-Level Instability in the Gulf and Levant
Authors | Editors: Jafri, A. (NSI, Inc.); Canna, S. (NSI, Inc.); Popp, G. (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview At the request of United States Central Command (USCENTCOM), SMA initiated a study to understand the strategic implications of destabilizing population dynamics within the Central Region. The effort examined drivers of instability in the region emerging from radicalization, great power competition, state-level […]
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Assessment of Strategic Implications of Population Dynamics in the Central Region—Integration Report: Radicalization
Authors | Editors: Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc.); Canna, S. (NSI, Inc.); Popp, G. (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview At the request of United States Central Command (USCENTCOM), SMA initiated a study to understand the strategic implications of destabilizing population dynamics within the Central Region. The effort examined drivers of instability in the region emerging from radicalization, great power competition, state-level […]
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Assessment of Strategic Implications of Population Dynamics in the Central Region—Integration Report: Great Power Competition
Authors | Editors: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc.); Canna, S. (NSI, Inc.); Popp, G. (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview At the request of United States Central Command (USCENTCOM), SMA initiated a study to understand the strategic implications of destabilizing population dynamics within the Central Region. The effort examined drivers of instability in the region emerging from radicalization, great power competition, state-level instability, […]
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Oman Succession Crisis 2020
Author | Editor: Liebl, V. (Center for Advanced Operational Culture Learning [CAOCL]); Yager, M. (NSI, Inc.) Invited Perspective Preview Note: This assessment was written before the death of Sultan Qaboos on 20 January 2020. While the death of Sultan Qaboos is inevitable, the succession will likely fall well within the purview of the Basic Law and […]
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