Black Swans and Gray Rhinos in the CENTCOM AOR: Vigilance Against the Unsuspected and Keeping Our Eyes on the Prize

March 2020 No Comments

“Black Swans and Gray Rhinos in the CENTCOM AOR: Vigilance Against the Unsuspected and Keeping Our Eyes on the Prize“ Speakers: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.); Wilkenfeld, J. (University of Maryland); Cioffi-Revilla, C. (George Mason University); Pike, T. (National Intelligence University); Lawson, S. (University of Utah) Date: 4 March 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a panel discussion as a part […]

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Why Deterrence Is Dead

March 2020 No Comments

“Why Deterrence Is Dead“ Speaker: Lewis, J. (Center for Strategic and International Studies [CSIS]) Date: 3 March 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. James Lewis (Center for Strategic and International Studies [CSIS]) as a part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Dr. Lewis first stated that what the US signals and what China and Russia interpret those signals to mean are often entirely different. This constant misinterpretation is […]

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Child’s Play: Cooperative Games as Tools of Deradicalization

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“Child’s Play: Cooperative Games as Tools of Deradicalization“ Authors | Editors: Cooley, A. (Oklahoma State University); Cooley, S. (Oklahoma State University); Hinck, R. (Monmouth College); Kitsch, S. (Monmouth College) Executive Summary Research on radicalization is more robust theoretically than research on deradicalization. While there are several workable theoretical systems explaining radicalization, no theory of deradicalization exists (Koehler, 2017). The most commonly discussed characteristic […]

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Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Futures Study with an Assessment of Syrian Refugee Camp Radicalization Dynamics

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“Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Futures Study with an Assessment of Syrian Refugee Camp Radicalization Dynamics” Authors | Editors: Lee, H. (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate); Donahue, J. (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate); Roth, N. (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate); Hunter-Chester, D. (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate) Executive Summary […]

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Stability in US-Egyptian Relations: Why the United States is Unlikely to Make a Major Policy Shift in Response to Egyptian Events

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“Stability in US-Egyptian Relations: Why the United States is Unlikely to Make a Major Policy Shift in Response to Egyptian Events“ Authors | Editors: Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc.); Peterson, N. (NSI, Inc.) NSI Reachback Report Preview The United States’ relationship with Egypt is generally thought to be an important one (Miller, 2020; Sharp, 2019; Wisner & […]

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SMA AFRICOM Panel Discussion- Libya

February 2020 No Comments

“SMA AFRICOM Panel Discussion- Libya“ Speakers: Nagata, M. (CACI International); Pack, J. (Libya-Analysis LLC); Winer, J. (Middle East Institute) Date: 28 February 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a panel discussion as a part of its SMA AFRICOM Speaker Series. The panelists included LTG(R) Michael K. Nagata (Consolidated Analysis Center, Incorporated [CACI]), Mr. Jason Pack (Libya-Analysis LLC), and Mr. Jonathan Winer (Middle East Institute). […]

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Red Teaming Great Power Competition in the USCENTCOM AOR

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Authors | Editors: Ackerman, G. (University of Albany); Wetzel, A. (University of Albany); Clifford, D. (University of Albany); Peterson, H. (University of Albany); Latourette, J. (University of Albany) Executive Summary As a pilot study, the Center for Advanced Red Teaming conducted a series of four simulation sessions in January 2020 to explore the question of how Great […]

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Rights and the Challenge of Belonging

February 2020 No Comments

“Rights and the Challenge of Belonging“ Speakers: Seligman, A. (Boston University & Communities Engaging with Difference and Religion [CEDAR]); Montgomery, D. (University of Maryland & CEDAR) Date: 26 February 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Adam Seligman (Boston University & Communities Engaging with Difference and Religion [CEDAR]) and Dr. David Montgomery (University of Maryland […]

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Gaming Gray Zone Tactics: Design Considerations for a Structured Strategic Game

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“Gaming Gray Zone Tactics: Design Considerations for a Structured Strategic Game“ Speakers: Pettyjohn, S. (RAND); Wasser, R. (RAND) Date: 25 February 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Stacie Pettyjohn (RAND) and Ms. Becca Wasser (RAND) as a part of its SMA EUCOM Speaker Series. Dr. Pettyjohn first stated that the gray zone is “more usefully […]

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Dealing with Radicalization in IDP Camps

February 2020 No Comments

“Dealing with Radicalization in IDP Camps“ Authors | Editors: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.); Jafri, A. (NSI, Inc.); Kuznar, E. (NSI, Inc.) NSI Reachback Report Preview The Middle Eastern region of the USCENTCOM area of responsibility (AOR) currently has approximately 20 million displaced persons, many of whom live in camps (see NSI Reachback question B3 response). These people […]

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