Risks of Security Outpacing Diplomacy in Syria & Iraq

October 2017 No Comments

Question (R5.2): What are the risks associated with the security situation in Syria/Iraq outpacing diplomatic progress and policy in the region? What should be done about it? Author | Editor: S. Canna (NSI, Inc,). Executive Summary Our experts noted that we cannot say with certainty what the future security environment will look like in the […]

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Opportunities & Threats from POTUS Middle East Visit

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Question (R5.1): What opportunities and threats should United States Central Command (USCENTCOM) be postured for as the result of a President of the United States (POTUS) visit to the Area of Responsibility (AOR)? What is the impact on stakeholders’ willingness to counter Iran along with the likelihood of partnering with the United States/coalition? Author | […]

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Influence in an Age of Rising Connectedness

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Influence in an Age of Rising Connectedness. Author | Editor: W. Aviles & S. Canna (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary A strong argument can be made that we are moving toward a pluralized, multipolar world, in which military and economic sources of power are widely distributed. Technologies (e.g., the Internet and rapid means of mass migration) […]

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Macro-Social Trends and National Defense Scenarios

September 2017 No Comments

Macro-Social Trends and National Defense Scenarios: Forecasting Crises and Forging Responses using Generation Theory in a Bio-psychosocial Framework. Author | Editor: Shook, J. (Graduate School of Education University at Buffalo) & Giordano, J. (Departments of Neurology and Biochemistry, Georgetown University Medical Center). Abstract Analytic informatics and vast databases permit modeling of large populations and their […]

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Neurocognitive Science of Aggression, Decision Making

August 2017 No Comments

A Primer on the Neurocognitive Science of Aggression, Decision Making, and Deterrence. Author | Editor: DiEuliis, D. (Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction, National Defense University) & Giordano, J. (Departments of Neurology and Biochemistry, Georgetown University Medical Center). Executive Summary here are numerous national security challenges relative and relevant to the aggressive […]

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Future of ISIS: What Experts Think Will Happen Next?

August 2017 No Comments

Future of ISIS: What Do Experts Think Will Happen Next? Author | Editor: Peterson, N. (NSI, Inc.). At its zenith in 2014, the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) controlled more than 100,000 square kilometers of territory. ISIS seized control over major cities, notably Mosul and Raqqa, which contributed to increasing disorder in the […]

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Smoke, Mirrors, and Mayhem: The Good Fight Remixed

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NSI Submission to the Army University Press’s Mad Scientist Initiative: “Smoke, Mirrors and Mayhem: The Good Fight Remixed”. Author | Editor: Macaulay, A. & Stevenson, J. (NSI, Inc.). The Army University Press created the Future Warfare Writing Program to generate ideas about possible complexities of future warfare, as presented in the U.S. Army Operating Concept. […]

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Trajectory of U.S./North Korean Nuclear War

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The Trajectory of U.S./North Korean Nuclear War: Insights from Kim Jong Un’s Rhetoric. Author | Editor: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary Hours after the Washington Post broke the story that North Korea may have miniaturized a nuclear warhead, enabling its ICBM to deliver a nuclear blow to U.S. soil, President Trump announced that if […]

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From Control to Influence: Cognition in the Grey Zone

July 2017 No Comments

From Control to Influence: Cognition in the Grey Zone. Author | Editor: Wright, N. (Institute for Conflict, Cooperation and Security, University of Birmingham, UK). Executive Summary Understanding and influencing adversary decision-making in Grey Zones requires anticipating key audiences’ perceptions and decision-making. We apply the neuroscience and psychology of human decision-making to help U.S. policymakers produce […]

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Executive Summaries of Gray Zone Conflicts Team Reports

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Gray Zone Conflicts, Challenges, and Opportunities – Executive Summaries of Team Reports. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc.). Table of Contents SPECIFYING & SYSTEMATIZING HOW WE THINK ABOUT THE GRAY ZON RISK AND AMBIGUITY IN THE GRAY ZONE GEOPOLITICAL VISIONS IN CHINESE MEDIA EXAMINATIONS OF SAUDI-IRANIAN GRAY ZONE COMPETITION IN MENA, AND OF POTENTIAL […]

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