Regime Collapse in Syria: Expectations and Implications

February 2020 No Comments

“Regime Collapse in Syria: Expectations and Implications“ Authors | Editors: Jafri, A. (NSI, Inc.); Goncharova, A. (NSI, Inc.) NSI Reachback Report Preview At present, collapse of the Assad regime in Syria is generally considered to be a remote possibility for three reasons: the Syrian government’s consolidation of power, a fragmented opposition, and the resolve of international actors […]

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SMA’s Chinese Strategic Intentions White Paper Panel Discussion- Part III (How the US, Its Allies, and Its Partner Nations Should Manage the Global Challenges Presented by China)

February 2020 No Comments

“SMA’s Chinese Strategic Intentions White Paper Panel Discussion- Part III (How the US, Its Allies, and Its Partner Nations Should Manage the Global Challenges Presented by China)“ Speakers: Babb, J. (US Army Command and General Staff College); Cheng, D. (Heritage Foundation); Mazarr, M. (RAND); Spalding, R. (Retired); Forrest, C. (US Air Force HQ AF/A3K (CHECKMATE)) […]

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US Action and Inaction in Lebanon: Charting the Best Course for US Interests in Great Power Competition

February 2020 No Comments

Authors | Editors: Polansky, S. (NSI, Inc.); Aviles, W. (NSI, Inc.) Report Abstract Despite significant challenges to its stability, Lebanon has long survived politically and economically. Nonetheless, poor governance and a severe economic crisis, coupled with ongoing public outrage, signal that the Lebanese government may no longer be able to withstand its enduring pressures. In this report, we consider two recommendations for how […]

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Media Reporting on Egypt’s Economy and Bailout Narratives: The Role of Egyptian, Chinese, and Russian Media Narratives in Solving Egypt’s Economic Crisis

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Authors | Editors: Hinck, R. (Monmouth College); Ehrl, M. (Kutztown University); Stefanism, W. (Monmouth College); Kitsch, S. (Monmouth College); Cooley, A. (Oklahoma State University); Cooley, S. (Oklahoma State University) Executive Summary This study examined Egyptian, Russian, and Chinese media perspectives of the Egyptian economy to determine to what extent a future economic crisis in Egypt is probable, […]

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Central Region Instability Dynamics

February 2020 No Comments

Authors | Editors: Elder, R. (George Mason University); Lewis, A. (George Mason University) Report Abstract With support from GTRI, GMU worked with Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) to assess strategic risk to U.S. and partner interests in the Middle East caused by great power competition in the region. Strategic risk was decomposed into key risk influence factors which were […]

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Hunting Bots & Trolls in a Game Environment

February 2020 No Comments

“Hunting Bots & Trolls in a Game Environment“ Speaker: Shulman, S. (Texifter) Date: 12 February 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Stuart Shulman (Texifter) as a part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Dr. Shulman’s brief focused on the ways in which one identify Internet bots and trolls by using text classification programs. He stated that […]

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Stealth War: How China Took Over While America’s Elite Slept

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“Stealth War: How China Took Over While America’s Elite Slept“ Speaker: Spalding, R. (Retired) Date: 11 February 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Robert Spalding III, Brig Gen, USAF (Ret.) as a part of its Future of Global Competition & Conflict Speaker Series. Dr. Spalding’s brief centered around his recent book, entitled Stealth War: How China Took Over While America’s […]

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Significant Multi-Domain Incidents against Critical Infrastructure (SMICI) Dataset

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“Significant Multi-Domain Incidents against Critical Infrastructure (SMICI) Dataset“ Speakers: Sin, S. (National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)); Washburn, R. (START) Date: 14 February 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Steve Sin (National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)) and Mr. Rhyner Washburn […]

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Reintegrating the Radicalized: Challenges, Lessons Learned, and How to Overcome Barriers

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“Reintegrating the Radicalized: Challenges, Lessons Learned, and How to Overcome Barriers“ Authors | Editors: Pagano, S. (NSI, Inc.); Aviles, W. (NSI, Inc.) NSI Reachback Report Preview Defining Reintegration and Distinguishing Related Terms We begin by defining reintegration and distinguishing it from other concepts with which it is sometimes conflated. Reintegration is often discussed in the context of disengagement, demobilization, […]

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Responsibility for Displaced Civilians and Effective Voices for Preventing Radicalization

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“Responsibility for Displaced Civilians and Effective Voices for Preventing Radicalization“ Authors | Editors: Rieger, T. (NSI, Inc.); Goncharova, A. (NSI, Inc.) NSI Reachback Report Preview Host countries, along with the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) and non-governmental organizations (NGOs), have the primary responsibility for the management and ongoing care of refugees and internally displaced persons (IDPs). However, […]

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