Black Swans to Defeating ISIL in al-Raqqah

January 2017 No Comments

Question (R2 #5): What are potential unanticipated complications or reactions (or “black swans”) with respect to defeating ISIL in al-Raqqah? Author | Editor: Reedy, K. (RAND). Predicting the unanticipated is always a challenge, but contributors have identified a couple of considerations for thinking about both potential complications involving external actors such as Turkey (Yeşilada) and […]

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Learning From the Countries Favorable to ISIL

January 2017 No Comments

Question (R2 #2): In countries where polling shows favorable opinions of ISIL (Syria, Nigeria, Tunisia, Senegal and Malaysia), what does this tell us? What do these countries have in common? What is our best approach to influence/inform? Author | Editor: Steckman, L. (MITRE). The contributors to this Quick Look responded to GEN Votel’s follow-up question, […]

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Recent IO Efforts and Sentiments

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Question (R2 QL1): Have sentiments changed since the December 2014 polling? Have recent IO efforts in Mosul influenced these sentiments? What other means can we use to influence? Author | Editor: McCulloh, I. (Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab). Data suggests that sentiment toward DA’ESH1 has changed since the December 2014 polling conducted by USCENTCOM. […]

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Part 5 The Various Sources of Extremism

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SMA CENTCOM Reach-back Reports – Part 5: Sources of Extremism. Author | Editor: SMA Program Office. This is Part 5 of a 9 part series of SMA Reach back responses to questions posed by USCENTCOM. Each report contains responses to multiple questions grouped by theme. At the request of United States Central Command (USCENTCOM), the […]

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Part 7 USG Bureaucratic Requirements

January 2017 No Comments

SMA CENTCOM Reach-back Reports – Part 7: USG Bureaucratic Requirements. Author | Editor: SMA Program Office. This is Part 7 of a 9 part series of SMA Reach back responses to questions posed by USCENTCOM. Each report contains responses to multiple questions grouped by theme. At the request of United States Central Command (USCENTCOM), the […]

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Part 6 ISIL Support and Recruitment

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SMA CENTCOM Reach-back Reports – Part 6: ISIL Support and Recruitment. Author | Editor: SMA Program Office. This is Part 6 of a 9 part series of SMA Reach back responses to questions posed by USCENTCOM. Each report contains responses to multiple questions grouped by theme. At the request of United States Central Command (USCENTCOM), […]

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Part 2 Learning From the Fight Against ISIS

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SMA CENTCOM Reach-back Reports – Part 2: The Fight Against ISIS. Author | Editor: SMA Program Office. This is Part 2 of a 9 part series of SMA Reach back responses to questions posed by USCENTCOM. Each report contains responses to multiple questions grouped by theme. At the request of United States Central Command (USCENTCOM), […]

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Discourse Indicators of Gray Zone: South China Sea

January 2017 No Comments

Discourse Indicators of Gray Zone Activity: South China Sea Case Study. Author | Editor: Kuznar, L., Popp, G. & Peterson, N. (NSI, Inc). The increasing use of emotive themes and rhetorical devices (that amplify a message’s emotional effect) provide indicators of gray zone activities in speeches made by Chinese, Philippine, and Vietnamese government officials during […]

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Discourse Indicators of Gray Zone: Estonia

January 2017 No Comments

Discourse Indicators of Gray Zone Activity: Russian-Estonian Relations Case Study. Author | Editor: Kuznar, L., Popp, G. & Peterson, N. (NSI, Inc). The increasing use of emotive themes and rhetorical devices (that amplify a message’s emotional effect) provide indicators of gray zone activities in speeches made by Eurasian regional leaders and has the potential to […]

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Discourse Indicators of Gray Zone: Crimea

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Discourse Indicators of Gray Zone Activity: Crimean Annexation Analysis Case Study. Author | Editor: Kuznar, L., Popp, G. & Peterson, N. (NSI, Inc). The increasing use of emotive themes and rhetorical devices (that amplify a message’s emotional effect) provide indicators of gray zone activities in speeches made by Eurasian regional leaders prior to and during […]

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