A Restraint Approach to U.S. China Policy

May 2023 No Comments

Speaker: Michael Swaine (Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft) Date: 1 June 2023 Speaker Session Summary Although the US-China competition has global economic and political implications, it is still primarily focused on the Asia-Pacific region. If this strategic competition escalates to armed conflict, then it will become incredibly costly to both the US and China. Dr. […]

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Cold Peace: Avoiding the New Cold War

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Speaker: Dr. Michael Doyle (Columbia University) Date: 31 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary US and China are considered by many analysts and scholars to be in a second Cold War. Dr. Doyle specified that there are four types of political relationships—hot war, cold war, cold peace, and warm peace. If countries are in a hot […]

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Russian Nuclear Orthodoxy: Religion, Coercion and the Russian Way of War

May 2023 No Comments

Speaker: Professor Dmitry Adamsky (Reichman University) Date: 19 July 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Professor Dmitry Adamsky (Reichman University) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. The Kremlin is blending its nuclear discourse, politics, and theological beliefs, changing the domestic perception in Russia regarding just nuclear war and […]

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Ethical and National Security Implications of Genetic Weapons

May 2023 No Comments

Speaker: Dr. Yelena Biberman (Skidmore College; South Asia Center, Atlantic Council; Davis Center, Harvard University) Date: 24 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Yelena Biberman (Skidmore College) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. At times, biotechnology appears to blend science fiction and reality. The potential warfighting applications of biotechnology […]

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Cyber Persistence and National Security

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Speaker: Dr. Michael Fischerkeller (IDA) Date: 23 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Michael Fischerkeller (IDA) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. The cyber domain is an increasingly prevalent theater of competition, and the US must be able to effectively deter opponents using cyber tools and […]

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Cognitive Threat States of Key Actors and the Psychology of International Crises

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Speakers: Dr. Larry Kuznar (NSI, Inc.); Tom Rieger (NSI, Inc.); Bradford Morrison (University of British Columbia) Date: 16 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Larry Kuznar (NSI, Inc.), Mr. Tom Rieger (NSI, Inc.), and Mr. Bradford Morrison (University of British Columbia) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Studies that […]

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Credibility, Organizational Politics, and Crisis Decision Making

May 2023 No Comments

Speaker: Don Casler (Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs, Brown University) Date: 17 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Don Casler (Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs, Brown University) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Civilian and military leaders have always been concerned about credibility and integrity. […]

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Quick Look: Food Security in USAFRICOM

May 2023 No Comments

Authors: Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI, Inc.) & Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of a formal SMA effort, Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) project. For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Preview This report provides a concise, highly visual overview of the food security subsystem of […]

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AFRICOM Exploitable Conditions Model (AECM) Network Analysis Report

May 2023 No Comments

Author: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview The physical, social, political, economic, and cultural systems that comprise the operational environmentinteract in complex ways. The Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Anticipating the Future OperationalEnvironment (AFOE) project models this complexity with special relevance to US national securityconcerns. The AFOE team constructed a generic Global Exploitable Conditions Model (GECM) […]

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Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) Sahelian Computational Models

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Author: Dr. Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview This publication was released as part of a formal SMA effort, Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) project. For more information regarding this project, please click here. The physical, social, political, economic, and cultural systems comprise the operational environment andinteract in complex ways. The Strategic Multilayer Assessment […]

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