From Control to Influence: Cognition in the Grey Zone
From Control to Influence: Cognition in the Grey Zone. Author | Editor: Wright, N. (Institute for Conflict, Cooperation and Security, University of Birmingham, UK). Executive Summary Understanding and influencing adversary decision-making in Grey Zones requires anticipating key audiences’ perceptions and decision-making. We apply the neuroscience and psychology of human decision-making to help U.S. policymakers produce […]
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Executive Summaries of Gray Zone Conflicts Team Reports
Gray Zone Conflicts, Challenges, and Opportunities – Executive Summaries of Team Reports. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc.). Table of Contents SPECIFYING & SYSTEMATIZING HOW WE THINK ABOUT THE GRAY ZON RISK AND AMBIGUITY IN THE GRAY ZONE GEOPOLITICAL VISIONS IN CHINESE MEDIA EXAMINATIONS OF SAUDI-IRANIAN GRAY ZONE COMPETITION IN MENA, AND OF POTENTIAL […]
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Gray Zone Conflicts, Challenges, and Opportunities
Integration Report: Gray Zone Conflicts, Challenges, and Opportunities. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary United States Special Operations Command (USSOCOM) requested a Strategic Multilayer Assessment effort “to determine how the USG can identify, diagnose, and assess indirect strategies, and develop response options against associated types of gray zone conflicts.” This integration report […]
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Gray Zone Challenge: Intent And Military Response
Gray Zone Challenge: Intent And Military Response. Author | Editor: Elder, R. (USAF, ret) & Levis, A. (George Mason University). Abstract Mapping political, security, societal and economic trends to the decision calculus of key regional and (as applicable) non-state actors has been used to gain insights into the behaviors of actors conducting multi- instrument operations […]
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Russian And Chinese Media Visions Of The Gray Zone
Media Visions Of The Gray Zone: Contrasting Geopolitical Narratives In Russian And Chinese Media. Author | Editor: Hinck, R., Kluver, R. (Texas A&M University) & Cooley, S. (Mississippi State University). Executive Summary The purpose of this effort was to contribute to the Strategic Multilayer Analysis by examining media messaging strategies in Russian and Chinese language […]
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Gray Zone Trends in Colombia, Libya and Ukraine
Quantifying Gray Zone Conflict: (De-)escalatory Trends in Gray Zone Conflicts in Colombia, Libya and Ukraine. Author | Editor: Koven, B., Piplani, V., Sin, S. & Boyd, M. (START). Executive Summary This report employs frequentist statistical analysis in order to model the effects of various factors, including the type of actors (state, violent non-state actor (VNSA) […]
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US Discoverable Government Information Assets Directory
US-DiGIA: Overview and Methodology of US Discoverable Government Information Assets Directory. Author | Editor: Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary The United States Government possesses a vast store of information assets that can be leveraged to inform a variety of problem sets, and can be used by a wide range of governmental actors in […]
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GCC Nations: Impediments to Cooperation
Question (R4.8): Are there impediments to cooperation amongst GCC nations that reduce their effectiveness towards undesirable or adverse regional issues? If so, how could impediments be overcome? Author | Editor: Aviles, W. (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary At the time of the writing of this executive summary, the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) has experienced a diplomatic […]
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Impact of Kurdish Independence in the Region
1. How have regional governments responded to Ma’soud Barzani’s announcement of a referendum on Iraqi Kurdish independence to be held in September? 2. How have different sub-state groups responded, to include different Kurdish factions in Iraq and across borders? 3. How are the Kurds using the independence referendum to leverage their interests? Author | Editor: […]
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China’s Expansion into South Asia, Middle East and Africa
Question (R4.9): What are the medium to long term implications to US interests and posture of China’s economic, diplomatic and military expansion into South Asia, Middle East and Africa? Author | Editor: Hayes Ellis, D. (University of Maryland). Executive Summary “It’s the Economy Stupid!” Perhaps unsurprisingly, all the contributors to this question devoted attention to […]
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