China’s Expansion into South Asia, Middle East and Africa
Question (R4.9): What are the medium to long term implications to US interests and posture of China’s economic, diplomatic and military expansion into South Asia, Middle East and Africa? Author | Editor: Hayes Ellis, D. (University of Maryland). Executive Summary “It’s the Economy Stupid!” Perhaps unsurprisingly, all the contributors to this question devoted attention to […]
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Examining Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia
Author | Editor: Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). The EUCOM video highlights work NSI did in collaboration with the Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) office and the US Department of Defense to apply NSI’s Virtual Think Tank (ViTTa) methodology to examine potential drivers of conflict and convergence in Eurasia over the next 5-25 years. For access to […]
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Defining and Validating the Gray Zone Using ViTTa
Author | Editor: Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). The Defining The Gray Zone video discusses how the gray zone is a conceptual space between peace and war, where activities are typically ambiguous or cloud attribution and exceed the threshold of ordinary competition, yet intentionally fall below the level of large-scale direct military conflict. This video highlights […]
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Will Physical Defeat of ISIS Eliminate Threat it Poses
Author | Editor: Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). The Physical Defeat of ISIS video addresses if a physical defeat of ISIS fully eliminate the threat it poses? Highlighting some of the work NSI has conducted as part of a Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) team Reach Back Cell in support of USCENTCOM, this video discusses the future […]
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Senturion Modeling in Support of Project Noor
Author | Editor: Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). The Senturion Modeling Project Noor video provides a brief overview of the Senturion modeling and simulation effort in support of the Strategic Multi-Layer Assessment (SMA) team’s Project Noor. For more information on Project Noor itself, please visit: Project Noor Video
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US-DiGIA: USG Discoverable Information Terrain
US-DiGIA: Mapping the USG Discoverable Information Terrain. Author | Editor: Bragg, B., Polansky (Pagano), S., & Stevenson, J. (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary The United States currently faces a complex and dynamic security environment. States are no longer the only critical actors in the international arena; rather, a diverse range of non-state entities also has the […]
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Geographic Services: Human Geography Data Analytics
Author | Editor: Sutherlin, G. (GSI, Inc). GSI’s geospatial relational database visualizes SMA data at a human scale supporting planners and CoA development. The relationships between the actors, groups, socio-cultural attributes and key events are shown as a geolocated network. This allows for navigation of physical and cognitive environments. SMA responses are modelled and […]
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Int’l Norms Transgressions Magnify Gray Zone Challenges
Violating Normal: How International Norms Transgressions Magnify Gray Zone Challenges. Author | Editor: Stevenson, J., Bragg, B., & Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc.) Overview The current international system presents multiple potential challenges to US interests. In recent years, state actors, especially but not limited to Russia and China, have taken actions that disrupt regional stability […]
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Gray Zone Deterrence: What It Is and How (Not) to Do It
Gray Zone Deterrence: What It Is and How (Not) to Do It. Author | Editor: Stevenson, J. (NSI, Inc.). Overview In recent years, state actors, especially but not limited to Russia and China, have increasingly engaged in what the US Government has labeled “gray zone challenges.”1 These are actions that disrupt regional stability and potentially […]
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Saudi-Iranian Gray Zone Competition in MENA
Examinations of Saudi-Iranian Gray Zone Competition in MENA, and of Potential Outcomes of the Flow of Foreign Fighters to the United States. Author | Editor: Capps, R., Ellis, D. & Wilkenfeld, J. (ICONS). Executive Summary The United States is regularly challenged by the actions of states and non-state actors in the nebulous, confusing, and ambiguous […]
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