Human, Machine, War: How the Mind-Tech Nexus Will Win Future Wars

April 2025 No Comments

Editors: Nicholas Wright (Georgetown University, University College London, Center for Strategic and International Studies), Michael Miklaucic (National Defense University), Todd Veazie (Joint Staff J3 Strategic Multilayer Assessment Office) Publication Preview Air University Press has published Strategic Multilayer Assessment’s (SMA) latest book, Human, Machine, War: How the Mind-Tech Nexus Will Win Future Wars. Forewords by General […]

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Avoiding Self-Deterrence in the Context of Nuclear Ambiguity

April 2025 No Comments

Volume V in the SMA Perspectives Series “Emergent Issues for U.S. National Security” Editors: Dr. Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.), Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI, Inc.), Dr. Hriar “Doc” Cabayan (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory), Nathan Heath (NSI, Inc) Publication Preview The context of this Report has to do with Russia’s use of nuclear ambiguity and implied nuclear […]

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West Africa Exploitable Conditions Model

January 2025 No Comments

Author: Dr. Samuel Henkin (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) Phase III.“ For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The West Africa Exploitable Conditions Model (WAECM) is an empirical, concept-based, system-of systems model tailored to the region of West Africa, […]

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Who Will We—and They—be on Day 30 or Day 1000 in Deterrence?

January 2025 No Comments

Author: Dr. Nicholas Wright (Intelligent Biology) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The Joint Concept for Competing (JCC; Feb 2023) states that a ‘competitive mindset also means embracing strategic competition as a persistent and enduring […]

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Russian Leadership Values and Regional Goals in the Arctic

January 2025 No Comments

Author: Dr. Tomas Ries (National Defence College, Stockholm, Sweden) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview Table 1 (see next page) outlines seven areas in which the Russian leadership holds key values in the Arctic and […]

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United States Deterrence Policy: 1944-Present

January 2025 No Comments

Authors: Dr. Asya Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Rosemary Avance (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Sumin Shin (Oklahoma State University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This literature review analyzes […]

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Evolution of Deterrent Thinking in USSR and Russia: A Look through Military Reports

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Authors: Dr. Asya Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Rosemary Avance (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Sumin Shin (Oklahoma State University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This comprehensive qualitative analysis […]

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Perceptual Deterrence

November 2024 No Comments

Author: Dr. Tom Tyler (Yale University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This review focuses on research findings about the effectiveness of the perceived risk of sanctions on criminal behavior. The goal of this […]

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International Collaboration in U.S. Integrated Deterrence: A Partner Perspective

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Authors: LTG (Ret), Dr. Dennis Gyllensporre (Swedish Defence University); MG (Ret) Bengt Svensson, Swedish Defence University This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This non-paper, prepared at the Swedish Defence University (SEDU), investigates the dynamics […]

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Escalation Management in the Early Stages of International Crisis

November 2024 No Comments

Authors: Dr. Kyle Beardsley (Duke University), Dr. Jonathan Wilkenfeld (START University of Maryland), & Phuong Pham (Duke University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This report evaluates how crisis actors respond to adversary actions […]

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