Reconciliation and Reintegration in Afghanistan
Reconciliation and Reintegration in Afghanistan Contributors: Kuznar, L., Stevenson, J., Polansky (Pagano), S., Jafri, A., & Kuznar, E. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary This report provides an analysis of the compatibility of reconciliation and reintegration processes, an assessment of the potential for achieving successful reconciliation and reintegration in Afghanistan, and an examination of which US government […]
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An Analysis of Prime Minister Imran Khan’s Discourse From 2008 – 2018
An Analysis of Prime Minister Imran Khan’s Discourse From 2008 – 2018 Contributors: Aviles, W. & Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary This study was conducted to address the question: How can the US increase the resolve and capability of Pakistan to support political reconciliation in Afghanistan and the region? Two methods of textual analysis […]
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Post-Negotiated Settlement Afghan Stability Dynamics
Post-Negotiated Settlement Afghan Stability Dynamics Contributors: TRADOC G27 Models and Simulations Branch Executive Summary This paper provides the TRADOC G27 Models and Simulations Branch initial assessment for Phases I and II of the Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) CENTCOM Afghanistan project. Phase I specifically assessed the impact of three different hypothetical Afghan government constructs: Centralized, Enhanced […]
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The Options for Getting to Political Reconciliation in Afghanistan
The Options for Getting to Political Reconciliation in Afghanistan Contributors: Jafri, A., Stevenson, J., Kuznar, E. & Canna, S. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary In August of 2018, United States Central Command asked the Strategic Multilayer Assessment Reachback team, How can the United States best increase the resolve and capability of regional actors to get to […]
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Assessment of Pathways to Regime Collapse in the DPRK
Assessment of Pathways to Regime Collapse in the DPRK Authors: Dr. Larry Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) and Dr. Sabrina Polansky (Pagano) (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of SMA’s Strategic Outcomes in the Korean Peninsula project. For more information regarding this project, please click here. Introduction and Purpose of Study The collapse of the […]
Continue ReadingContested Space Operations, Space Defense, Deterrence, and Warfighting: Summary Findings and Integration Report
Contested Space Operations, Space Defense, Deterrence, and Warfighting: Summary Findings and Integration Report Authors: Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI, Inc.); Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI, Inc.); and LTG (RET) Bob Elder (George Mason University) Summary of Findings Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois, NSI and Dr. Robert Elder, GMU The following are key findings from eleven quantitative, qualitative, and simulation […]
Continue ReadingStrategic Outcomes in the Korean Peninsula—Part II: Key Questions as Answered by Individual Analytic Efforts
Author(s): Astorino-Courtois, A. (NSI); Cooley, S. (Oklahoma State University); Dorondo, D. (Western Carolina University); Elder, R. (George Mason University); Kuznar, L. (NSI); Olsher, D. (Integral Mind); Popp, G. (NSI); Sleevi, N. (TRADOC); Suedfeld, P. (University of British Columbia); Wright, N. (Intelligent Biology) Report Preview Over the course of this project, multiple sets of questions were […]
Continue ReadingKorea Strategic Outcomes
Korea Strategic Outcomes Authors: Lt General (Retired) Robert Elder (George Mason University) and Dr. Alexander Levis (George Mason University) Abstract The GMU Korean Peninsula strategic outcomes project sought viable political-military options to achieve U.S. strategic objectives with respect to the Korean Peninsula, and examined whether executing these options will introduce risk to other regional U.S. […]
Continue ReadingStrategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) of Strategic Outcomes in the Korean Peninsula- Part 1: Key Findings
Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) of Strategic Outcomes in the Korean Peninsula- Part 1: Key Findings Authors: Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI, Inc.) Top-Level Findings This paper reports a number of the top-level findings from the Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Strategic Outcomes in the Korean Peninsula project requested by the Joint Staff J39 and USINDOPACOM. They are […]
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Western Pacific Regional Dynamics & North Korean Nuclear Status
Authors: Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI, Inc.) and Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of SMA’s Strategic Outcomes in the Korean Peninsula project. For more information regarding this project, please click here. Executive Summary Given the current distribution of actor interests, capabilities and resolve (I-R-C), North Korean denuclearization is highly unlikely […]
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