US Command Perspectives on Campaigning in Support of Integrated Deterrence
Speakers: Ms. Michele Wolfe (USAFRICOM), Drs. Emily Goldman and Michael Warner (USCYBERCOM), Mr. James “JJ” Jenista (USNORTHCOM and NORAD), Mr. Robert Jones (USSOCOM), Mr. Howard Simkin (USASOC), Ms. Kayse Jansen (USSTRATCOM) Date: 10 August 2023 Speaker Session Summary The complex nature of the modern threat environment and geopolitical competition, especially competition in the gray zone, has […]
Continue ReadingU.S. Command Perspectives on Campaigning in Support of Integrated Deterrence (Volume IV)
Volume IV in the SMA Perspectives Series “Emergent Issues for U.S. National Security” Editors: Belinda Bragg, PhD (NSI) & Hriar Cabayan, PhD (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) Contributing Commands: USAFRICOM, USCYBERCOM, NORAD and USNORTHCOM, USSOCOM, USSTRATCOM SMA Perspectives Publication Preview Download Report The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not […]
Continue ReadingMiniaturization as a Grail in the Third Nuclear Age
Authors: James Giordano, PhD (Georgetown University) & Bob Williams (Georgetown University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Preview Instability of the international system and order is arising from competition among great powers, who possess large, […]
Continue ReadingQuick Look: Food Security in USAFRICOM
Authors: Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI, Inc.) & Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of a formal SMA effort, Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) project. For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Preview This report provides a concise, highly visual overview of the food security subsystem of […]
Continue ReadingAFRICOM Exploitable Conditions Model (AECM) Network Analysis Report
Author: Dr. Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of a formal SMA effort, Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) project. For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Preview The physical, social, political, economic, and cultural systems that comprise the operational environmentinteract in complex ways. The Strategic Multilayer Assessment […]
Continue ReadingAnticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) Sahelian Computational Models
Author: Dr. Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview This publication was released as part of a formal SMA effort, Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) project. For more information regarding this project, please click here. The physical, social, political, economic, and cultural systems comprise the operational environment andinteract in complex ways. The Strategic Multilayer Assessment […]
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Emerging Strategic & Geopolitical Challenges: Operational Implications for US Combatant Commands (Volume III)
Volume III in the SMA Perspectives Series “Emergent Issues for U.S. National Security” Editors: Belinda Bragg, PhD (NSI, Inc.); Hriar Cabayan, PhD (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) Editorial Board: Lt Gen (Ret) Robert Elder (George Mason University); Lt Gen (Ret) Timothy Fay, Robert Jones (USSOCOM), Robert Toguchi, PhD (USASOC) Contributing Commands: USAFRICOM; USCENTCOM; USCYBERCOM; USEUCOM; USINDOPACOM; […]
Continue ReadingWhy are we integrating now—and how can we integrate better?
Author: Dr. Nicholas Wright (Intelligent Biology) This publication was released as part of a formal SMA effort, Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) project. For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Preview Integrating effectively has always provided a strategic edge, from the ancient world to the present day. Integration is a central […]
Continue ReadingSMA SEEK Results: Expanding US Nuclear Capability & Pessimism About Nuclear Use in the Next 15 Years
Author: Popp, G. (NSI); Astorino-Courtois, A. (NSI); Bragg, B. (NSI) Publication Preview In August 2021, many of you participated in SMA’s inaugural Survey for Eliciting Expert Knowledge (SEEK) outreach. SEEK is SMA’s new, online capability for tapping into the collective knowledge, experience, and wisdom of our 5000+ person community of interest to generate crowdsourced insights […]
Continue ReadingEvaluating China’s Road to Cyber Super Power
Author: Dr. Brandon Williams (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Questions of Focus [Q5] How do US escalation management capabilities compare with those of our nuclear-armed competitors? How do relative non-kinetic capabilities (e.g., cyber […]
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