Question (QL2): What are the strategic and operational implications of the Turkish Army’s recent intervention in northern Syria for the coalition campaign plan to defeat ISIL? What is the impact of this intervention on the viability of coalition vetted indigenous ground forces, Syrian Defense Forces and Jabhat Fatah al-Sham (formerly ANF)? Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, […]
Continue ReadingThe Conflict in the Donbas between Gray and Black: The Importance of Perspective. Author | Editor: Finkel, E. (University of Maryland, START). The current case study analyzes the presence and importance of Gray Zone conflict dynamics and the employment of various instruments of power during the still ongoing conflict in Eastern Ukraine (Donbas) since its […]
Continue ReadingFinland, After ‘hybrid warfare’, what next? – Understanding and responding to contemporary Russia. Author | Editor: Bettina Renz ja Hanna Smith (Office of the Prime Minister of Finland). More than two years after Russia’s annexation of Crimea, the West continues coming to terms with the implications of this event. As discussed by the project’s the […]
Continue ReadingPart IV: Analysis of the Dynamics of Near East Futures: Assessing Actor Interests, Resolve and Capability in 5 of the 8 Regional Conflicts. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This briefing is the final part of a four-part study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. Part II describes the system […]
Continue ReadingDrivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years — Integration Report: Executive Summary. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). This project identified threats and opportunities in Eurasia (with particular emphasis on USEUCOM area of responsibility (AOR) countries). This report provides an overview of the regional issues identified by the US, […]
Continue ReadingDrivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years — Integration Report. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). Evaluating strategic risk in the Eurasia region over the next two to three decades is a complex challenge that is vital for USEUCOM planning and mission success. The depth of our understanding of […]
Continue ReadingResearch to Identify Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years: Virtual Think Tank (ViTTa) Summary Report. Author | Editor: Canna, S., Bragg, B., Desjardins, A., Popp, G. & Yager, M. (NSI, Inc). From July through November 2015, NSI employed its Virtual Think Tank (ViTTa) methodology to systematically interview 26 subject […]
Continue ReadingIdentification of Security Issues and their Importance to Russia, Its Near-abroad and NATO Allies: A Thematic Analysis of Leadership Speeches. Author | Editor: Kuznar, L. & Yager, M. (NSI, Inc). This study addresses key questions posed in the SMA EUCOM project by using thematic analysis of speeches from leaders of state and non-state polities in […]
Continue ReadingEurasia Strategic Risk. Author | Editor: Elder, R. & Levis, A. (GMU). The GMU Eurasia Strategic Risk project examined future political, security, societal and economic trends as they apply to the decision calculus of key Eurasian regional actors. Timed Influence Net (TIN) models were used to identify potential sources of strategic risk for the United […]
Continue ReadingGeopolitical Visions in Russian Media. Author | Editor: Hinck, R. et al. Hinck, R. (Texas A&M University). This study sought to examine future political, security, societal and economic trends to identify where U.S. interests are in cooperation or conflict with Russian interests, and in particular, identify leverage points when dealing with Russia in a global […]
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