The Defender’s Dilemma: Why countering grayzone aggression is so difficult (and what options Western governments do have)
Speaker: Elisabeth Braw (Atlantic Council) Date: 5 September 2024 Speaker Session Summary: Western governments, including the United States, face significant challenges in identifying gray zone aggression. This form of aggression is often difficult to detect before the attack is fully underway, as it can originate from any source at any time. A key characteristic of […]
Continue Reading
Integrated Deterrence Reachback Study
Author: Dr. Sabrina Polansky (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This work was situated within the broader Strategic Multilayer Assessment Strategic Deterrence Frameworks (SDF) study, which incorporated four lines of effort (LOEs) […]
Continue Reading
Shades of Grim: Scenarios for Ukraine and Global Order
Speakers: Prof. Luis Simón & Ms. Lotje Boswinkel (Centre for Security, Diplomacy and Strategy at the Brussels School of Governance, Vrije Universiteit Brussel) Date: 16 July 2024 Speaker Session Summary The ongoing war in Ukraine remains unresolved, and its outcome is widely debated among politicians, researchers, and military practitioners. In their recent CSDS paper “Shades […]
Continue Reading
Deterrence Among Three to Twelve Nuclear Powers: Fundamental Instability and Mitigation Strategy
Author: Dr. Claudio Cioffi-Revilla (George Mason University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The fundamental instability of bilateral nuclear deterrence (Albert Wohlstetter’s “delicate balanceof terror”) is mitigated, in part, by each adversary deploying and […]
Continue ReadingArms Control Opportunities in the Emerging Two-nuclear-peer Environment
Speaker: Amy Woolf (Atlantic Council, Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security) Date: 14 May 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Ms. Amy Woolf (Atlantic Council, Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. The proliferation of nuclear weapons is increasingly critical to international security, […]
Continue ReadingAssessing the Evolving Russian Nuclear Threat
Speakers: Dr. Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Nicholas Lokker, and Heli Hautala (Center for a New American Security) and Michael Kofman (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) Date: 17 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Nicholas Lokker, and Heli Hautala (Center for a New American Security), and Michael Kofman (Carnegie Endowment […]
Continue Reading
The Sanctions Response to Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine
Speaker: Christine Abely (New England Law | Boston) Date: 9 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary The sanctions imposed on Russia in response to its past aggressive actions, such as the annexation of Crimea, targeted actors directly involved in its aggression. However, the current sanctions imposed on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine have a much […]
Continue ReadingMeasuring Policy Effectiveness of Cyber Deterrence and Defensibility
Author: Mr. Jason Healey (Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The United States needs more effective metrics to determine if integrated cyber deterrence is working (as […]
Continue Reading
Conceptualizing the Deterrence of Terrorism in the Era of Strategic Competition
Author: Dr. Steven S. Sin (START, University of Maryland) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview Deterring terrorism literature began as a reaction following the events of September 11, 2001. Since that time, there has […]
Continue Reading
Measuring Policy Effectiveness of Cyber Deterrence and Defensibility
Speaker: Jason Healey (Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs) Date: 28 March 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Mr. Jason Healey (Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. Cyber deterrence differs significantly from conventional deterrence, particularly nuclear deterrence. Mr. […]
Continue Reading