Irregular Warfare
Authors: Derek Jones (Valens Global), Madison Urban (Valens Global), & Dr. Kevin D. Stringer (General Jonas Zemaitis Military Academy of Lithuania) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview At the core of the United States […]
Continue ReadingKey Factors in Crisis Escalation
Author: Egle Murauskaite (University of Maryland) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview Over the past decade, the nature of international conflict has increasingly turned away from state-versus-state warfare becoming, instead, typified as relatively low-level […]
Continue ReadingRussian Nuclear Rhetoric 2014-2023: Transatlantic Differences in Threat Perception
Author: Egle Murauskaite (University of Maryland) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview After decades of discourse on disarmament and non-proliferation, the war in Ukraine has effectively marked the return of nuclear weapons to both […]
Continue ReadingMoloch, the Meta-Crisis, and Integrated Nuclear Deterrence
Authors: The Media Ecology and Strategy Analysis Group (MESA) Research Team Members: Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Sumin Shin (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Aysa Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Rosemary Avance (Oklahoma State University) Student Researchers: Dru Norton, Kelli Leech, Campbell Clark This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st […]
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Why, What, and How Free Societies Must Develop Effective Deterrence of Actors Intending Bad Ends Given Our GenAI Era
Speaker: Dr. David Bray (Stimson Center; LeadDoAdapt Ventures) Date: 13 March 2024 Speaker Session Summary The advent of widespread internet access and the emergence of new forms of generative AI (GenAI) have broken down the physical boundaries that once separated international and intranational communities. Dr. Bray delineates three overarching trends that delineate the interplay between […]
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Extended Deterrence Across the Continuum of Conflict
Speaker: Dr. Maximilian Hoell (LLNL) Date: 20 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Maximilian Hoell (LLNL) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. Since the end of the Cold War, US extended deterrence has undergone significant evolution, initially appearing to diminish in importance with the perceived decrease […]
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North Korea in Regional—and Global—Multi-body Nuclear Strategy
Speakers: Markus Garlauskas (Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Atlantic Council) and Dr. Lauren Sukin (The London School of Economics and Political Science) Date: 8 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Mr. Markus Garlauskas (Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Atlantic Council) and Dr. Lauren Sukin (The London School of […]
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Chinese Strategic Deterrence Frameworks
Author: Dr. James Sundquist (Yale University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview China does not have an overarching deterrence framework. However, it is possible to identify the primary objects of Chinese deterrence and describe […]
Continue ReadingNATO Strategic Foresight Analysis, Drivers of a Pervasive Competition
Author: NATO Allied Command Transformation This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023 (SFA23) provides a shared understanding of the EvolvingSecurity Environment to 2043, thus establishing the context for Allied futures […]
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Deterrence Effects of Policing Programs
Author: Dr. Kathleen Kiernan (NEC National Security Systems (NSS)) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview While there are parallels, the environment in which deterrence occurs for the U.S. Military is vastly different in context […]
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