US-China Competition in the 2020s: The Decisive Decade

July 2020 No Comments

Speaker: Ward, J. (Atlas Organization) Date: 8 July 2020 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted speaker session presented by Dr. Jonathan Ward (Atlas Organization) as a part of its SMA INDOPACOM Speaker Series. Dr. Ward addressed three primary questions during his brief: 1) Why is 2020-2030 a critical decade for US-China great power competition?; 2) What does China’s grand strategy […]

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Assessment of Strategic Implications of Population Dynamics in the Central Region—Integration Report: Great Power Competition

March 2020 No Comments

Author | Editors: Belinda Bragg (NSI, Inc.); Sarah Canna (NSI, Inc.); and George Popp (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Preview At the request of the United States Central Command (USCENTCOM), SMA initiated […]

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A “Colder War” Future in the USCENTCOM AOR? Realpolitik Trajectory of Major Powers and Regional Players

March 2020 No Comments

Authors: Dr. Maorong Jiang (Creighton University); and Dr. David Dorondo (Western Carolina University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Abstract and Methodology This paper addresses potential security concerns in the Middle East and North Africa […]

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Population Dynamics and Radicalization in the CENTCOM AOR: Post-Brexit EU2 + 1 and the UN vs. a US-led Coalition of the Willing

March 2020 No Comments

Author: Dorondo, D. (Western Carolina University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. Introduction In 2020, the States of the European Union (EU), as well as NATO’s European members and those States not enjoying membership of […]

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Sino-Russian Competition: Self-Inflicted Competition in Central Asia?

March 2020 No Comments

Authors: Sarah Canna (NSI, Inc.) and Eric Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Preview China and Russia support each other’s political and economic objectives both globally and in the USCENTCOM area of responsibility […]

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Assessing Buffers and Drivers of Conflict in the Arab Gulf

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Authors: Weston Aviles (NSI, Inc.); Tom Rieger (NSI, Inc.); and Alex Goncharova (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. Bottom Line Up Front Experts contend that the risk of militarization of the dispute between Qatar and the Quartet is low. However, prolonged tension […]

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Potential Paths to Instability in Jordan

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Authors: Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.), Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI, Inc.), & Tom Rieger (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. Bottom Line What would be the strongest catalyst leading to a civil war/revolt in Jordan? It is […]

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Stability in US-Egyptian Relations: Why the United States is Unlikely to Make a Major Policy Shift in Response to Egyptian Events

March 2020 No Comments

Authors: Sabrina (Pagano) Polansky (NSI, Inc.); and Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. NSI Reachback Report Preview The United States’ relationship with Egypt is generally thought to be an important one […]

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SMA AFRICOM Panel Discussion- Libya

February 2020 No Comments

“SMA AFRICOM Panel Discussion- Libya“ Speakers: Nagata, M. (CACI International); Pack, J. (Libya-Analysis LLC); Winer, J. (Middle East Institute) Date: 28 February 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a panel discussion as a part of its SMA AFRICOM Speaker Series. The panelists included LTG(R) Michael K. Nagata (Consolidated Analysis Center, Incorporated [CACI]), Mr. Jason Pack (Libya-Analysis LLC), and Mr. Jonathan Winer (Middle East Institute). […]

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US Action and Inaction in Lebanon: Charting the Best Course for US Interests in Great Power Competition

February 2020 No Comments

Authors: Dr. Sabrina Polansky (Pagano) (NSI, Inc.); and Weston Aviles, W. (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Abstract Despite significant challenges to its stability, Lebanon has long survived politically and economically. Nonetheless, poor governance and a severe economic […]

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