Post-Negotiated Settlement Afghan Stability Dynamics

December 2018 No Comments

Post-Negotiated Settlement Afghan Stability Dynamics Contributors: TRADOC G27 Models and Simulations Branch Executive Summary This paper provides the TRADOC G27 Models and Simulations Branch initial assessment for Phases I and II of the Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) CENTCOM Afghanistan project. Phase I specifically assessed the impact of three different hypothetical Afghan government constructs: Centralized, Enhanced […]

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The Options for Getting to Political Reconciliation in Afghanistan

December 2018 No Comments

The Options for Getting to Political Reconciliation in Afghanistan Contributors: Jafri, A., Stevenson, J., Kuznar, E. & Canna, S. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary In August of 2018, United States Central Command asked the Strategic Multilayer Assessment Reachback team, How can the United States best increase the resolve and capability of regional actors to get to […]

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Chinese Strategic Interests and Operations in Central Asia

December 2018 No Comments

“Chinese Strategic Interests and Operations in Central Asia” Speaker: Pantucci, R. (Royal United Services Institute) Date: 4 December 2018 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Mr. Raffaello Pantucci (Royal United Services Institute [RUSI]) as a part of its Future of Global Competition & Conflict Speaker Series. To begin his presentation, Mr. […]

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Imran Khan and Pakistan’s Role in a Potential Grand Bargain

August 2018 No Comments

“Imran Khan and Pakistan’s Role in a Potential Grand Bargain” Speaker: Kaltenthaler, K. (University of Akron) Date: 29 August 2018 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Karl Kaltenthaler (University of Akron) as a part of its SMA CENTCOM (Afghanistan) Speaker Series. Dr. Kaltenthaler began his presentation by discussing Imran Khan’s […]

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China’s Role and Interests in Afghanistan

July 2018 No Comments

China’s Role and Interests in Afghanistan Speaker: Pantucci, R. (Royal United Services Institute [RUSI]) Date: 20 July 2018 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Mr. Raffaello Pantucci (Royal United Services Institute [RUSI]) as a part of its SMA CENTCOM (Afghanistan) Speaker Series. Mr. Pantucci first provided a brief history of China’s […]

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11th Annual SMA Conference – “A Utopian or Dystopian Future, or Merely Muddling Through?”

July 2018 No Comments

11th Annual SMA Conference – “A Utopian or Dystopian Future, or Merely Muddling Through?” Author | Editor: Aviles, W. (NSI, Inc.). Conference Theme This Conference assessed what today we rightly or wrongly perceive as historically unprecedented changes from the perspectives of politics and history, sociology, biology, information science, and technological innovation. There is a large […]

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Post-War Economic Development in Iraq & Syria

April 2018 No Comments

Question (R6.5): After a long period of war, both Iraq and Syria are devastated and considerable rebuilding efforts will be necessary to make these countries economically sound again. Is there an opportunity to entice regional countries to invest and thus improve stability and inter-state relations in the region and decrease their (economical) dependence on western […]

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US Retain Stability in Post-Kurdish Referendum Iraq

April 2018 No Comments

Question (R6.8): What is the role of the United States and coalition partners in maintaining stability as Iran, Iraq, Turkey, as other groups grapple with the Iraqi Kurdish independence referendum? Authors | Editors: Aviles, W. (NSI, Inc.) Overview Since the controversial September referendum for Iraqi Kurdish independence, the political stability of the Kurdistan Regional Government […]

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Alleviating US-Iran Tensions

March 2018 No Comments

Question (R4.6): What are the competing national interests of the United States and Iran in the Middle East and what are the options for alleviating United States / Iranian tensions to mutual satisfaction and improved regional stability? Author | Editor: Astorino-Courtois, A. (NSI, Inc). Executive Summary The US and Iran have the same types of […]

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Promoting greater stability in post-ISIL Iraq, Volume 1

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Promoting greater stability in post-ISIL Iraq, Volume 1: Analysis of the drivers of legitimacy, security, and social accord for key Iraqi stakeholders. Author | Editor: Bragg, B., & Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary United States Central Command (CENTCOM) posed the following question to the Strategic Multi-layer Assessment (SMA) virtual reach back cell: What […]

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