Countering the ISIL Fight
Question (V7): Objectives and Motivations of Indigenous State and Non-State Partners In the Counter-Isil Fight. What are the strategic objectives and motivations of indigenous state and non-state partners in the counter-ISIL fight? Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). The following are high-level results of a study assessing Middle East regional dynamics based on the […]
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Mosul Coalition Fragmentation
Mosul Coalition Fragmentation: Causes and Effects. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc) & Krakar, J. (TRADOC G-27). This paper assesses the potential causes and effects of fragmentation on the Counter-ISIL coalition. This coalition consists of three distinct but interrelated subsets: the CJTF-OIR coalition; the regional coalition, de facto allies of convenience, who may provide […]
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Socio-Political Stability in Syria and Iraq
Options to Facilitate Socio-Political Stability in Syria and Iraq. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc) & Cabayan, H. (Joint Staff). This White Paper presents the analytic results from Strategic Multi-layer Assessment (SMA) project touching on the Middle East and North Africa. The objective is to suggest options to manage conflict in the region and […]
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Understand and Respond to Contemporary Russia
Finland, After ‘hybrid warfare’, what next? – Understanding and responding to contemporary Russia. Author | Editor: Bettina Renz ja Hanna Smith (Office of the Prime Minister of Finland). More than two years after Russia’s annexation of Crimea, the West continues coming to terms with the implications of this event. As discussed by the project’s the […]
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Part IV: Results of 5 of 8 Conflicts in Iraqi-Syria
Part IV: Analysis of the Dynamics of Near East Futures: Assessing Actor Interests, Resolve and Capability in 5 of the 8 Regional Conflicts. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This briefing is the final part of a four-part study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. Part II describes the system […]
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Part III: Use Case Analysis of Iraqi-Syrian Conflict
Unpacking the Regional Conflict System surrounding Iraq and Syria—Part III: Implications for the Regional Future: Syria Example of Actor Interests, Resolve and Capabilities Analysis. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This is Part III of a larger study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. Part I described the system and […]
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Part II: Assessing Dynamics of the Iraqi-Syrian Conflict
Unpacking the Regional Conflict System surrounding Iraq and Syria—Part II: Method for Assessing the Dynamics of the Conflict System, or, There are no sides—only interests. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This is Part II of a larger study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. Part I described the system […]
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Part I: Characterizing the Iraqi-Syrian Conflict System
Unpacking the Regional Conflict System surrounding Iraq and Syria—Part I: Characterizing the System. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This is Part I of a larger study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. It describes the system and why it is critical to assess U.S. security interests and activities in […]
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Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia (ExecSum)
Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years — Integration Report: Executive Summary. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). This project identified threats and opportunities in Eurasia (with particular emphasis on USEUCOM area of responsibility (AOR) countries). This report provides an overview of the regional issues identified by the US, […]
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Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia (Integration)
Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years — Integration Report. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). Evaluating strategic risk in the Eurasia region over the next two to three decades is a complex challenge that is vital for USEUCOM planning and mission success. The depth of our understanding of […]
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