Eurasia Strategic Risk and Future Trends

February 2016 No Comments

Eurasia Strategic Risk. Author | Editor: Elder, R. & Levis, A. (GMU). The GMU Eurasia Strategic Risk project examined future political, security, societal and economic trends as they apply to the decision calculus of key Eurasian regional actors. Timed Influence Net (TIN) models were used to identify potential sources of strategic risk for the United […]

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Geopolitical Visions in Russian Media

January 2016 No Comments

Geopolitical Visions in Russian Media. Author | Editor: Hinck, R. et al. Hinck, R. (Texas A&M University). This study sought to examine future political, security, societal and economic trends to identify where U.S. interests are in cooperation or conflict with Russian interests, and in particular, identify leverage points when dealing with Russia in a global […]

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Russian Opportunities and Challenges in the Arctic

October 2015 No Comments

Russia and the Arctic. Author | Editor: Levis, A. & Elder, R. (GMU). The receding of the Arctic ice presents the Russian Federation with complex opportunities and challenges, both domestic and international. Russia is investing heavily in developing the infrastructure on its Arctic coastline to support both destination shipping in the Arctic and transit shipping […]

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Conflict and Convergence in the Asia-Pacific Region

August 2015 No Comments

Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in the Asia-Pacific Region in the Next 5-25 Years. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). USPACOM requested that the Strategic Multi-layer Assessment (SMA) team conduct an “Examination of future political, security, societal, and economic trends to identify where US interests are in cooperation or conflict with Chinese and other […]

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Holistic Engagement Activities Ranking Tool (HEART)

March 2015 No Comments

Holistic Engagement Activities Ranking Tool (HEART) — A Multi-criteria decision tool to assist in planning and tracking steady state security assistance and engagement activities. Author | Editor: Astorino-Courtois, A. (NSI, Inc). More than ever, United States Government (USG) activities are planned and implemented in an atmosphere of shrinking budgets, high expectations and intense scrutiny at […]

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A New Info Paradigm? From Genes to ‘Big Data’

October 2014 No Comments

8th Annual SMA Conference: A New Information Paradigm? From Genes to ‘Big Data’ and Instagram to Persistent Surveillance…Implications for National Security. Author | Editor: Cabayan, H. (Joint Staff) & Canna, S. (NSI, Inc). We live in an age characterized by the reshaping of society through the presence of information and networks. The proliferation of information […]

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Leader Assessment of Bashar al-Assad (Part I)

February 2014 No Comments

A Multi-disciplinary, Multi-method Approach to Leader Assessment at a Distance: The Case of Bashar al-Assad. Author | Editor: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc), Suedfeld, P. (University of British Columbia), Spitaletta, J. (Johns Hopkins University/Applied Physics Laboratory) & Morrison, B. (University of British Columbia). This report suggests potential types of actions and messages most likely to influence […]

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Leader Assessment of Bashar al-Assad (Part II)

February 2014 No Comments

A Multi-disciplinary, Multi-method Approach to Leader Assessment at a Distance: The Case of Bashar al-Assad (Part II: Analytic Approaches). Author | Editor: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc) & Suedfeld, P. et al. (University of British Columbia). This report suggests potential types of actions and messages most likely to influence and deter Bashar al-Assad from using force […]

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7th Annual SMA Conference – What Now, What Next?

November 2013 No Comments

7th Annual SMA Conference: Over a Decade into the 21st Century…What Now? What Next? Author | Editor: Canna, S. & Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). The 7th Annual Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Conference was held at Joint Base Andrews from 13-14 November 2013. The conference was focused on global megatrends and their implications in all spheres […]

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New Face of Transnational Crime Organizations (TCOs)

May 2013 No Comments

The ‘New’ Face of Transnational Crime Organizations (TCOs): A Geopolitical Perspective and Implications for US National Security. Author | Editor: Riley, B. (OSD/RRTO), Kiernan, K., St. Clair, C. (Kiernan Group) & Canna, S. (NSI, Inc). Office of the Secretary of Defense President Barack Obama: Significant transnational criminal organizations constitute an unusual and extraordinary threat to […]

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