The Defender’s Dilemma: Why countering grayzone aggression is so difficult (and what options Western governments do have)

August 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Elisabeth Braw (Atlantic Council) Date: 5 September 2024 Speaker Session Summary: Western governments, including the United States, face significant challenges in identifying gray zone aggression. This form of aggression is often difficult to detect before the attack is fully underway, as it can originate from any source at any time. A key characteristic of […]

Continue Reading

Public Support for Self-Defence in Taiwan: The Current State of Research

August 2024 No Comments

Speakers: Dr. Charles K.S. Wu, Fang-Yu Chen, and Yao-Yuan Yeh (University of Southern Alabama) Date: 14 August 2024 Speaker Session Summary Chinese President Xi Jinping has indicated that an invasion of Taiwan by 2027 is a distinct possibility, if not imminent. The concern of a Chinese invasion from the international community intensified following the Russian […]

Continue Reading

Integrated Deterrence Reachback Study

July 2024 No Comments

Author: Dr. Sabrina Polansky (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This work was situated within the broader Strategic Multilayer Assessment Strategic Deterrence Frameworks (SDF) study, which incorporated four lines of effort (LOEs) […]

Continue Reading

Climate, Peace, and Security in Latin America and the Caribbean – A Perspective from UNDP

July 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Adam Forbes (United Nations Development Programme) Date: 18 July 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Adam Forbes (United Nations Development Programme) as part of its SMA AFOE Phase III Climate Effects Speaker Series. Since 2008, the discourse on the relationship between climate change effects, conflict, and security has significantly evolved. […]

Continue Reading

Shades of Grim: Scenarios for Ukraine and Global Order

July 2024 No Comments

Speakers: Prof. Luis Simón & Ms. Lotje Boswinkel (Centre for Security, Diplomacy and Strategy at the Brussels School of Governance, Vrije Universiteit Brussel) Date: 16 July 2024 Speaker Session Summary The ongoing war in Ukraine remains unresolved, and its outcome is widely debated among politicians, researchers, and military practitioners. In their recent CSDS paper “Shades […]

Continue Reading

Access Denied?: Assessing Options for Projecting Airpower into a Contested East Asia

June 2024 No Comments

Speakers: Dr. Nicholas Anderson (George Washington University) and Dr. Daryl Press (Dartmouth College) Date: 25 June 2024 Speaker Session Summary China is striving to limit US military power projection in its home region of East Asia by enhancing its own ability to project air and missile power. To ensure that China cannot restrict US power […]

Continue Reading

Rebuilding Ukraine with Mr. Pavlo Kukhta

June 2024 No Comments

Speakers: Pavlo Kukhta (Center for Economic Solutions) and Guest Host Jack Gaines (One CA Podcast) Date: 20 June 2024 Speaker Session Summary The ongoing Russian invasion has dramatically affected Ukraine’s industry and economy, forcing Ukraine to reimagine and rebuild its industrial base and market structure. Mr. Kukhta discussed how Ukraine can rebuild its economy through foreign […]

Continue Reading

Some of the Analysis Behind RAND’s “Inflection Point” Report

May 2024 No Comments

Speaker: David Ochmanek (RAND) Date: 22 May 2024 Speaker Session Summary Modern threats from developed nations like China are beginning to exceed US capabilities, partly because the US military was predominantly focused on regional adversaries such as Iraq during Desert Storm. Mr. Ochmanek categorized the US approach to military power projection during this period as […]

Continue Reading

Deterrence Among Three to Twelve Nuclear Powers: Fundamental Instability and Mitigation Strategy

May 2024 No Comments

Author: Dr. Claudio Cioffi-Revilla (George Mason University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The fundamental instability of bilateral nuclear deterrence (Albert Wohlstetter’s “delicate balanceof terror”) is mitigated, in part, by each adversary deploying and […]

Continue Reading

Responses Against China’s Coercion in the Indo-Pacific: Developing a Toolkit from the Philippines and Taiwan

April 2024 No Comments

Speakers: Thomas J. Shattuck (Perry World House) & Robin Michael U. Garcia (Perry World House, WR Advisory Group) Date: 24 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary China has escalated its aggressive and coercive tactics against smaller and less powerful states as part of its objective to become a regional hegemony. Major targets of Chinese aggression since […]

Continue Reading