Gray Zone Deterrence: What It Is and How (Not) to Do It. Author | Editor: Stevenson, J. (NSI, Inc.). Overview In recent years, state actors, especially but not limited to Russia and China, have increasingly engaged in what the US Government has labeled “gray zone challenges.”1 These are actions that disrupt regional stability and potentially […]
Continue ReadingExaminations of Saudi-Iranian Gray Zone Competition in MENA, and of Potential Outcomes of the Flow of Foreign Fighters to the United States. Author | Editor: Capps, R., Ellis, D. & Wilkenfeld, J. (ICONS). Executive Summary The United States is regularly challenged by the actions of states and non-state actors in the nebulous, confusing, and ambiguous […]
Continue Reading10th Annual SMA Conference – From Control to Influence? A View of—and Vision for—the Future. Author | Editor: George Popp, Sarah Canna, & Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.). Conference Background The Strategic Multi-Layer Assessment (SMA) office hosted the 10th Annual SMA Conference on 25-26 April 2017 at Joint Base Andrews. This year’s conference, formally titled […]
Continue ReadingGeopolitical Visions In Chinese Media. Author | Editor: Hinck, R., Manly, J., Kluver, R. & Norris, W. (Texas A&M University). Executive Summary This study analyzed Chinese web media in an effort to uncover key frames and cultural scripts that are likely to shape potential geopolitical relationships in Asia. The team provided an overview of Chinese […]
Continue ReadingPanel Discussion on the Gray Zone. Author | Editor: Popp, G., Canna, C., Bragg, B., Stevenson, J. & Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.). Overview At the request of the Commander, United States Special Operations Command (USSOCOM), the Strategic Multi-Layer Assessment (SMA) team initiated an effort, titled Gray Zone Conflicts-Challenges and Opportunities-A Multi-Agency Deep Dive Assessment, focused […]
Continue ReadingHow Discourse Analysis Could Help Provide Insight into the Future of US-China Relations. Author | Editor: Dr. Lawrence Kuznar, Nicole (Peterson) Omundson, & George Popp (NSI, Inc). Click here for timeline animation. The future of the US-China relationship seems increasingly uncertain, to say the least. Increased tensions between the two international powers were seemingly ignited […]
Continue ReadingViolating normal: How international norms transgressions magnify gray zone challenges. Author | Editor: Stevenson, J., Bragg, B., & Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc). The current international system presents multiple potential challenges to US interests. In recent years, state actors, especially but not limited to Russia and China, have taken actions that disrupt regional stability and […]
Continue ReadingSpecifying and systematizing how we think about the Gray Zone. Author | Editor: Bragg, B., Polansky (Pagano), S., & Stevenson, J. (NSI, Inc). In their continued work on the changing nature of the threat environment General Votel et al (2016) forecast that the majority of threats to US security interests in coming years will be […]
Continue ReadingDiscourse Indicators of Gray Zone Activity: South China Sea Case Study. Author | Editor: Dr. Lawrence Kuznar, George Popp, & Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.) The increasing use of emotive themes and rhetorical devices (that amplify a message’s emotional effect) provide indicators of gray zone activities in speeches made by Chinese, Philippine, and Vietnamese government […]
Continue ReadingDiscourse Indicators of Gray Zone Activity: Russian-Estonian Relations Case Study. Author | Editor: Dr. Lawrence Kuznar, George Popp, & Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.) The increasing use of emotive themes and rhetorical devices (that amplify a message’s emotional effect) provide indicators of gray zone activities in speeches made by Eurasian regional leaders and has the […]
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