CONCESSIONS TO THE LIMITED POWERS: Considerations of Low-Yield Nuclear Weapons, Asymmetrical Capability, and Extended Deterrence

September 2024 No Comments

Authors: Bob Williams (Georgetown University) & Dr. James Giordano (Georgetown University Medical Center) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview Quite recently, nuclear strategy scholars Kier Lieber and Daryl Press posited that arms’ tables have […]

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How Innovative is China in Nuclear Power?

September 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Mr. Stephen Ezell (ITIF) Date: 10 September 2024 Speaker Session Summary Analysts have long debated China’s capacity to innovate within its industry and economy. Mr. Ezell presented compelling evidence that China is not only more innovative than most analysts predict, but that its nuclear industry is particularly advanced. According to Ezell, China is likely […]

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Integrated Deterrence Reachback Study

July 2024 No Comments

Author: Dr. Sabrina Polansky (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This work was situated within the broader Strategic Multilayer Assessment Strategic Deterrence Frameworks (SDF) study, which incorporated four lines of effort (LOEs) […]

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Shades of Grim: Scenarios for Ukraine and Global Order

July 2024 No Comments

Speakers: Prof. Luis Simón & Ms. Lotje Boswinkel (Centre for Security, Diplomacy and Strategy at the Brussels School of Governance, Vrije Universiteit Brussel) Date: 16 July 2024 Speaker Session Summary The ongoing war in Ukraine remains unresolved, and its outcome is widely debated among politicians, researchers, and military practitioners. In their recent CSDS paper “Shades […]

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Deterrence Among Three to Twelve Nuclear Powers: Fundamental Instability and Mitigation Strategy

May 2024 No Comments

Author: Dr. Claudio Cioffi-Revilla (George Mason University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The fundamental instability of bilateral nuclear deterrence (Albert Wohlstetter’s “delicate balanceof terror”) is mitigated, in part, by each adversary deploying and […]

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Arms Control Opportunities in the Emerging Two-nuclear-peer Environment

May 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Amy Woolf (Atlantic Council, Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security) Date: 14 May 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Ms. Amy Woolf (Atlantic Council, Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. The proliferation of nuclear weapons is increasingly critical to international security, […]

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Assessing the Evolving Russian Nuclear Threat

April 2024 No Comments

Speakers: Dr. Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Nicholas Lokker, and Heli Hautala (Center for a New American Security) and Michael Kofman (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) Date: 17 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Nicholas Lokker, and Heli Hautala (Center for a New American Security), and Michael Kofman (Carnegie Endowment […]

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Irregular Warfare

March 2024 No Comments

Authors: Derek Jones (Valens Global), Madison Urban (Valens Global), & Dr. Kevin D. Stringer (General Jonas Zemaitis Military Academy of Lithuania) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview At the core of the United States […]

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Key Factors in Crisis Escalation

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Author: Egle Murauskaite (University of Maryland) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview Over the past decade, the nature of international conflict has increasingly turned away from state-versus-state warfare becoming, instead, typified as relatively low-level […]

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Russian Nuclear Rhetoric 2014-2023: Transatlantic Differences in Threat Perception

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Author: Egle Murauskaite (University of Maryland) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview After decades of discourse on disarmament and non-proliferation, the war in Ukraine has effectively marked the return of nuclear weapons to both […]

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