Statistical Modeling of Risk and Political Instability in the Influence Environment – An NSI Aggrieved Populations Analysis
Statistical Modeling of Risk and Political Instability in the Influence Environment – An NSI Aggrieved Populations Analysis Authors | Editors: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.); Kuznar, E. (NSI, Inc.); Aviles, W. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary Success in the global competition between the US, China, and Russia may be determined by a country’s ability to influence the […]
Continue ReadingDivided Society of Post-ISIS Mosul
“Divided Society of Post-ISIS Mosul“ Speaker: Mironova, V. (Harvard University) Date: 7 October 2019 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted speaker session presented by Dr. Vera Mironova (Harvard University) as a part of its SMA CENTCOM Speaker Series. During her brief, Dr. Mironova presented the results of her December 2018-January 2019 survey of civilians and ISIS families in Mosul […]
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Global Competition: Planning Globally Integrated Operations
Global Competition: Planning Globally Integrated Operations Authors | Editors: Elder, R. (George Mason University); Levis, A. (George Mason University) Abstract With support from GTRI, GMU worked with Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) to identify preferred, acceptable, and sustainable strategic outcomes for the U.S. and its partners. Decomposing these outcomes into causal effects and influencers served as […]
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TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate China Futures Study
TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate China Futures Study Author | Editor: TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate Executive Summary The Competitive Zone (or Gray Zone) is “an operational environment ‘churning with political, economic, and security competitions that require constant attention.’” Given Russia’s military actions in eastern Ukraine and China’s expansion in the South China Sea, […]
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Beyond PMESII: Advancing JIPOE for Integrated Campaigning
“Beyond PMESII: Advancing JIPOE for Integrated Campaigning“ Speaker: Pike, T. (National Intelligence University) Date: 3 October 2019 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted speaker session presented by LTC Thomas Pike (National Intelligence University) as a part of its Future of Global Competition & Conflict Speaker Series. During part one of his two-part brief, LTC Pike focused on three findings from his dissertation: […]
Continue ReadingSourcing Air Supremacy: Determinants of Change in the International Fighter Jet Network
“Sourcing Air Supremacy: Determinants of Change in the International Fighter Jet Network“ Speaker: Rounds, R. (US Air Force) Date: 2 October 2019 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted speaker session presented by Lt Col Ray Rounds (US Air Force) as a part of its SMA General Speaker Series. During his presentation, Lt Col Rounds argued that international arms transfers are not […]
Continue ReadingThe Age of Disruption: How Power Shifts Create More Conflict
The Age of Disruption: How Power Shifts Create More Conflict Authors | Editors: Aviles, W. (NSI); Blocksome, P. (Naval War College– Monterey); Bolduc, D. (Truth to Power LLC); Cooley, S. (Oklahoma State University); DeGennaro, P. (USARMY TRADOC G2 OEC); Dorondo, D. (Western Carolina University); Hinck, R. (Monmouth College); Kamp, A. (University of Maryland START); Koven, B. (University of Maryland START); Kuznar, L. (NSI); Levi-Sanchez, S. (Naval War […]
Continue ReadingViolent Non-State Actors and the Kashmir Conflict
Authors: Gina Ligon (University of Nebraska Omaha); Michael Logan (University of Nebraska Omaha); Lauren Zimmerman (University of Nebraska Omaha) Abstract In this study, we examine five active Violent Non-State Actors (VNSAs) and their capacity for violence in a potential conflict in the Kashmir region. The four VNSA include Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), Hizbul Mujahideen, Jaish-e-Mohammad, and Al Qaeda. Drawing from both the Leadership […]
Continue ReadingJammu and Kashmir Reach Back: Media Analysis of Extremist Activities in Indian and Pakistani News
Authors: Dr. Skye Cooley, (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Robert Hinck, (Monmouth College); Dr. Robert Utterback, (Monmouth College) This report was part of a small, rapid effort by SMA. Please email mariah.c.yager.ctr@mail.mil for additional information. A second report from this effort can be found here. Executive Summary The following study explored how extremist organizations may take advantage of the […]
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Using Narratives to Shape Chinese and Russian Behavior – A Future of Global Competition and Conflict Virtual Think Tank Report
Using Narratives to Shape Chinese and Russian Behavior – A Future of Global Competition and Conflict Virtual Think Tank Report Authors | Editor: Kuznar, E. (NSI, Inc.); Popp, G. (NSI, Inc.); Canna, S. (NSI, Inc.) Subject Matter Expert Contributors Dean Cheng (Heritage Foundation), Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University), Dr. Nicholas J. Cull (University of Southern California), Dr. […]
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