White Paper on Bio-Psycho-Social Applications to Cognitive Engagement. Author | Editor: Spitaletta, J. (Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory). The recently released White Paper entitled “Assessing and Anticipating Threats to US Security Interests: A Bio-Psycho-Social Science Approach for Understanding the Emergence of and Mitigating Violence and Terrorism” that Giordano discusses in the succeeding section provided […]
Continue ReadingRisk and Ambiguity in the Gray Zone. Author | Editor: Wright, N. (University of Birmingham & Carnegie Endowment for International Peace). Risk and ambiguity are central to activities in the Gray Zone. Policymakers can manipulate risk, and use it as a tool for deterrence or escalation management. They can also manipulate ambiguity. In the Gray […]
Continue ReadingSpecifying & systematizing how we think about the Gray Zone. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc). In their continued work on the changing nature of the threat environment General Votel et al forecast that the majority of threats to US security interests in coming years will be found in a ‘gray zone’ between acceptable […]
Continue ReadingCounter-Da’esh Influence Operations: Cognitive Space Narrative Simulation Insights. Author | Editor: Linera, R. LTC, Seese, G. MAJ (USASOC) & Canna, S (NSI, Inc). At the request of Joint Staff/J-39, the SMA program, in coordination with United States Army Special Operations Command (USASOC) and the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), participated in a second Counter-Da’esh Messaging […]
Continue ReadingOperating in the Gray Zone: An Alternative Paradigm for U.S. Military Strategy. Author | Editor: Echevarria II, A. (U.S. Army War College). Recent events in Ukraine, Syria, Iraq, and the South China Sea continue to take interesting, if not surpris- ing, turns. As a result, many security experts are call- ing for revolutionary measures to […]
Continue ReadingPart IV: Analysis of the Dynamics of Near East Futures: Assessing Actor Interests, Resolve and Capability in 5 of the 8 Regional Conflicts. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This briefing is the final part of a four-part study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. Part II describes the system […]
Continue ReadingUnpacking the Regional Conflict System surrounding Iraq and Syria—Part III: Implications for the Regional Future: Syria Example of Actor Interests, Resolve and Capabilities Analysis. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This is Part III of a larger study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. Part I described the system and […]
Continue ReadingUnpacking the Regional Conflict System surrounding Iraq and Syria—Part II: Method for Assessing the Dynamics of the Conflict System, or, There are no sides—only interests. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This is Part II of a larger study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. Part I described the system […]
Continue ReadingUnpacking the Regional Conflict System surrounding Iraq and Syria—Part I: Characterizing the System. Author | Editor: Astorino-Coutois, A. (NSI, Inc). This is Part I of a larger study exploring the dynamics of the central Middle East conflict system. It describes the system and why it is critical to assess U.S. security interests and activities in […]
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