Demystifying the Gray Zone: Colombia, Libya, Ukraine
Demystifying Gray Zone Conflict: A Typology of Conflict Dyads and Instruments of Power in Colombia, Libya and Ukraine. Author | Editor: Koven, B. (START). The author of this report is Barnett S. Koven, Senior Researcher at the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START). Questions about this report should be […]
Continue Reading
Population Support for ISIL in Iraq
Question (QL3): What does primary source opinion research tell us about population support for ISIL in ISIL-held Iraq and globally outside the Combined Joint Operation Area (CJOA) (Syria and Iraq)? Author | Editor: Canna, S. (NSI, Inc). Opinion polls conducted by independent outfits in 2015 and 2016 derive the same result: the vast majority of […]
Continue Reading
Demystifying the Gray Zone: Libya, 2014‐Present
Demystifying Gray Zone Conflict: A Typology of Conflict Dyads and Instruments of Power in Libya, 2014‐Present. Author | Editor: Gabriel, R. & Johns, M. (University of Maryland, START). This case study is intended to highlight the dynamics of Gray Zone conflict in Libya since 2014. It places specific emphasis on the roles of non‐state actors […]
Continue Reading
Scientific Methods for Countering Extremism (2015 Edition)
Countering Violent Extremism: Scientific Methods and Strategies (2015 Edition) Author | Editor: Fenstermacher, L. (Air Force Research Laboratory) [Note: 2011 edition available here] Why are we reissuing the paper collection, “Countering Violent Extremism: Scientific Methods and Strategies”? The answer is simple. Five years later, violent extremism is still an issue. In September 2014, President Obama […]
Continue Reading
Holistic Engagement Activities Ranking Tool (HEART)
Holistic Engagement Activities Ranking Tool (HEART) — A Multi-criteria decision tool to assist in planning and tracking steady state security assistance and engagement activities. Author | Editor: Astorino-Courtois, A. (NSI, Inc). More than ever, United States Government (USG) activities are planned and implemented in an atmosphere of shrinking budgets, high expectations and intense scrutiny at […]
Continue Reading
Stability Modeling (StaM) Analysis of Nigeria
Stability Model Users’ Guide: Incorporating StaM Analysis of Nigeria for Illustration. Author | Editor: Bragg, B., Brickman, D., Desjardins, A., Popp, G. & Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc). Over the past decade the United States Government has recognized the importance of obtaining a rich contextual understanding of the operating environment, specifically focusing on the human […]
Continue Reading
Countering Violent Extremism: Scientific Methods & Strategies (2011 Edition)
Countering Violent Extremism: Scientific Methods & Strategies (2011 Edition) Author | Editor: Fenstermacher, L. & Leventhal, T. (Air Force Research Laboratory). [Note: There is a revised edition, released in 2015.) If there were a simple solution for countering violent extremism, a solution would have been found centuries ago. Countering violent extremism successfully requires a balanced […]
Continue Reading
Counter and Delegitimize Violent Extremism
Defining a Strategic Campaign for Working with Partners to Counter and Delegitimize Violent Extremism Workshop. Author | Editor: Arana, A., Baker, T. & Canna, S. (NSI, Inc). Dr. Hriar Cabayan, OSD, welcomed the participants on behalf of the Department of Defense (DoD), the State Department (DoS), and the RAND Corporation to the Defining a Strategic […]
Continue Reading
Perspectives on Political and Social Regional Stability Impacted by Global Crises – A Social Science Context
Perspectives on Political and Social Regional Stability Impacted by Global Crises – A Social Science Context. Author | Editor: Cabayan, H. (Joint Staff), Sotirin, B. et al. (USACE-HQ, CERD). Cooperative security, stability operations and irregular warfare missions require a better understanding of the complex operational environment, notably through rich contextual understanding of the factors affecting […]
Continue Reading
Subjective Decision Analysis: Egypt, Iran, Iraq, …
Subjective Decision Analysis Final Report: Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Russia, Saudi Arabia & Syria. Author | Editor: Astorino-Courtois, A., Canna, S., Chapman, A., Hartman, A., & Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc). The SMA Strategic Deterrence effort is a methodological study to evaluate the appropriateness and utility of modeling and wargaming to support the analytic requirements of […]
Continue Reading