Deterrence Among Three to Twelve Nuclear Powers: Fundamental Instability and Mitigation Strategy
Author: Dr. Claudio Cioffi-Revilla (George Mason University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The fundamental instability of bilateral nuclear deterrence (Albert Wohlstetter’s “delicate balanceof terror”) is mitigated, in part, by each adversary deploying and […]
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Critical Minerals Geopolitics and Security
Speakers: Dr. Morgan Bazilian (Colorado School of Mines) & Gregory Wischer (Dei Gratia Minerals) Date: 16 May 2024 Speaker Session Summary Minerals are crucial components of advanced weapons systems, playing a pivotal role in military capability and power projection. They are increasingly integrated into new attack platforms, including Virginia-class attack submarines and long-range missiles. Militaries […]
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The Qualities that Make Nations Competitive: Chinese and Russian Views
Speakers: Dr. Timothy Heath, Dr. Michael Mazarr, Clint Reach (RAND) Date: 23 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary A significant portion of the current literature exploring Great Power Competition (GPC) among the United States, China, and Russia predominantly reflects a Western perspective. However, a research group from RAND is seeking to provide a more comprehensive understanding […]
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The Sanctions Response to Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine
Speaker: Christine Abely (New England Law | Boston) Date: 9 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary The sanctions imposed on Russia in response to its past aggressive actions, such as the annexation of Crimea, targeted actors directly involved in its aggression. However, the current sanctions imposed on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine have a much […]
Continue ReadingRussian Nuclear Rhetoric 2014-2023: Transatlantic Differences in Threat Perception
Author: Egle Murauskaite (University of Maryland) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview After decades of discourse on disarmament and non-proliferation, the war in Ukraine has effectively marked the return of nuclear weapons to both […]
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The Future of US-Russian Relations
Speaker: Thomas Graham (Council on Foreign Relations) Date: 22 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary Even in the event of a military defeat suffered by Russia at the hands of Ukraine, it will continue to pose a formidable adversary to the US for the foreseeable future. Despite this adversarial stance, there will also be opportunities for […]
Continue ReadingNATO Strategic Foresight Analysis, Drivers of a Pervasive Competition
Author: NATO Allied Command Transformation This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023 (SFA23) provides a shared understanding of the EvolvingSecurity Environment to 2043, thus establishing the context for Allied futures […]
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AI-Driven Expert-Validated Threat and Foreign Influence Assessments
Speaker: Ms. Jacki Davenport (Seerist) Date: 25 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Seerist developed an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled threat intelligence platform that utilizes information from open-source resources to identify, monitor, and track global threats. Alongside Deloitte, Seerist also developed the Foreign Influence Risk Index (FIRI), which examines the dynamics of great power competition. Seerist’s AI-enabled […]
Continue ReadingDeterrence and Space Warfare
Author: Dr. John Klein (Delta Solutions & Strategies, LCC) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The strategy of space warfare is a subset of general warfare strategy; therefore, the ideas of deterrence, compellence, and […]
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Hybrid Warfare: Guile Born Out of Weakness
Speaker: Curtis Fox (Author of Hybrid Warfare: The Russian Approach to Strategic Competition & Conventional Military Conflict) Date: 11 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Russia’s historical strategy to protect its sovereign borders and security environment has been to act aggressively with its military, attempting to constantly expand its borders. This aggressive expansion has been a […]
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