SMA SEEK Results: Expanding US Nuclear Capability & Pessimism About Nuclear Use in the Next 15 Years

January 2022 No Comments

Author: Popp, G. (NSI); Astorino-Courtois, A. (NSI); Bragg, B. (NSI) Publication Preview In August 2021, many of you participated in SMA’s inaugural Survey for Eliciting Expert Knowledge (SEEK) outreach. SEEK is SMA’s new, online capability for tapping into the collective knowledge, experience, and wisdom of our 5000+ person community of interest to generate crowdsourced insights […]

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The Real and Present Risk of Low-Yield Nuclear Weapons on the Battlefield

January 2022 No Comments

Speaker(s): Lowther, A. (Director, Department of Multi-Domain Operations, Army Management Staff College) Date: 12 January 2022 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a panel discussion with Dr. Adam Lowther (Director, Department of Multi-Domain Operations, Army Management Staff College) as part of its SMA STRATCOM Speaker Series.  Russia’s and China’s status as near-peer nuclear competitors with the US […]

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Outer Space in the Media Space: How Russian and Chinese News Media Present the Commercialization and Militarization of the Space Domain

January 2022 No Comments

Authors: Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Randy Kluver (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Ethan Stokes (University of Alabama) Report Preview This report details Russian and Chinese media presentations of operations and intentions in the space domain to their respective populations. These presentations provide us insight into how members of these nation states understand their government’s […]

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Challenges to 21st Century Deterrence (Part III)

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Speakers: Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI) and Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI) Date: 7 January 2022 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a panel discussion with Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI) and Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI) as as part of its SMA STRATCOM Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure Speaker Series.  As US adversaries reach nuclear parity—or near nuclear parity—with the US, […]

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The Shape of the Future Operating Environment: How Our Adversaries Have Learned to Stop Worrying and Ignore the Bomb

December 2021 No Comments

Author: Bragg, B. (NSI) Video Preview In July of this year, at the request of USSTRATCOM, SMA initiated an effort to address eight questions regarding the implications of the increasing numbers, and expanding capabilities, of US nuclear adversaries. This report addresses two of those questions: [Q2] What are US competitors (Russia, China, Iran, DPRK) doing […]

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The Challenge of Russia’s Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons: Western Air Supremacy as One Russian Justification for NSNW

December 2021 No Comments

Authors: Roy Boone (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska); David Rehbein (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska); John Swegle (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska); Christopher Yeaw (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure.” For more information […]

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The Escalatory Attraction of Limited Nuclear Employment For Great Power Competitors of the United States

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Authors: Christopher Yeaw (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The United States has entered into a dangerously new era in which, for the first time in our nation’s history, […]

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Challenges to 21st Century Deterrence (Part II)

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Speakers: Lt Gen (Ret) Robert Elder, PhD (George Mason University); James Siebens (Defense Strategy & Planning Program, Stimson Center); Dr. Christopher Yeaw (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska) Date: 9 December 2021 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a panel discussion with Lt Gen (Ret) Robert Elder, PhD (George Mason University), Mr. James A. Siebens […]

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The Role of Nuclear-Conventional Intermingling on State Decision-making and the Risk of Inadvertent Escalation

November 2021 No Comments

Authors: Benjamin Bahney (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory [LLNL]) and Dr. Anna Péczeli (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory [LLNL]) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview Questions Addressed Framing the Problem In practice, there are three main forms of […]

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Operations in the Information Environment: Course of Action Analysis Exercise

November 2021 No Comments

Authors: Devin Ellis (ICONS); Dr. Egle Murauskaite (ICONS); Dr. Gary Ackerman (CART, SUNY Albany); Doug Clifford (CART, SUNY Albany) Publication Preview This report supported SMA’s Integrating Information in Joint Operations (IIJO) project. For additional speaker sessions and project publications, please visit the IIJO project page. The ICONS Project, a wargaming and simulation organization at the University […]

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