Assessing and Anticipating Threats to US Security Interests: A Bio-Psycho-Social Science Approach for Understanding the Emergence of and Mitigating Violence and Terrorism. Author | Editor: Giordano, J. (Georgetown University Medical Center). This white paper represents the work of intra- and extramural subject matter experts (SMEs) from multiple disciplines, convened to provide views and insights to […]
Continue ReadingResearch to Identify Drivers of Conflict and Convergence in Eurasia in the Next 5-25 Years: Virtual Think Tank (ViTTa) Summary Report. Author | Editor: Canna, S., Bragg, B., Desjardins, A., Popp, G. & Yager, M. (NSI, Inc). From July through November 2015, NSI employed its Virtual Think Tank (ViTTa) methodology to systematically interview 26 subject […]
Continue ReadingIdentification of Security Issues and their Importance to Russia, Its Near-abroad and NATO Allies: A Thematic Analysis of Leadership Speeches. Author | Editor: Kuznar, L. & Yager, M. (NSI, Inc). This study addresses key questions posed in the SMA EUCOM project by using thematic analysis of speeches from leaders of state and non-state polities in […]
Continue ReadingEurasia Strategic Risk. Author | Editor: Elder, R. & Levis, A. (GMU). The GMU Eurasia Strategic Risk project examined future political, security, societal and economic trends as they apply to the decision calculus of key Eurasian regional actors. Timed Influence Net (TIN) models were used to identify potential sources of strategic risk for the United […]
Continue ReadingManeuver and Engagement in the Narrative Space. Author | Editor: Munch, R. (TRADOC G-27 TBOC). The paper leverages and melds the latest thinking of academic and operational subject matter experts in fields of organizational and social dynamics, network analysis, psychology, information operations and narrative development, social media analysis, and doctrine development related to aspects of […]
Continue ReadingGeopolitical Visions in Russian Media. Author | Editor: Hinck, R. et al. Hinck, R. (Texas A&M University). This study sought to examine future political, security, societal and economic trends to identify where U.S. interests are in cooperation or conflict with Russian interests, and in particular, identify leverage points when dealing with Russia in a global […]
Continue Reading9th Annual SMA Conference: No War/No Peace…A New Paradigm in International Relations and a New Normal? Author | Editor: Canna, S., Popp, G. & Yager, M. (NSI, Inc). Background Since the end of the Cold War and with the advent of the new century, new geopolitical realities have emerged that have made classical wars with […]
Continue ReadingRussia and the Arctic. Author | Editor: Levis, A. & Elder, R. (GMU). The receding of the Arctic ice presents the Russian Federation with complex opportunities and challenges, both domestic and international. Russia is investing heavily in developing the infrastructure on its Arctic coastline to support both destination shipping in the Arctic and transit shipping […]
Continue ReadingPutin’s Information Warfare in Ukraine, Soviet Origins of Russia’s Hybrid Warfare. Author | Editor: Snegovaya, M. (Institute for the Study of War). Russia has been using an advanced form of hybrid warfare in Ukraine since early 2014 that relies heavily on an element of information warfare that the Russians call “reflexive control.” Reflexive control causes […]
Continue ReadingCountering Violent Extremism: Scientific Methods and Strategies (2015 Edition) Author | Editor: Fenstermacher, L. (Air Force Research Laboratory) [Note: 2011 edition available here] Why are we reissuing the paper collection, “Countering Violent Extremism: Scientific Methods and Strategies”? The answer is simple. Five years later, violent extremism is still an issue. In September 2014, President Obama […]
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