Negotiating with the Leaders of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea: Inferences from Thematic Content Analysis
Negotiating with the Leaders of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea: Inferences from Thematic Content Analysis Author(s): Dr. Bradford Morrison (University of British Columbia) and Dr. Peter Suedfeld (University of British Columbia) Executive Summary The UBC research group assessed psychological processes of six DPRK leaders, including Kim Jong-un, using thematic content analysis for integrative complexity […]
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Assessment of Pathways to Regime Collapse in the DPRK
Assessment of Pathways to Regime Collapse in the DPRK Author(s): Dr. Larry Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) and Dr. Sabrina Polansky (Pagano) (NSI, Inc.) Introduction and Purpose of Study The collapse of the North Korean economy and disastrous famine of the mid-1990s forced the regime to adapt its centrally-planned economy—most notably by allowing limited and small-scale private […]
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Korea Strategic Outcomes
Korea Strategic Outcomes Author(s): Lt General (Retired) Robert Elder (George Mason University) and Dr. Alexander Levis (George Mason University) Abstract The GMU Korean Peninsula strategic outcomes project sought viable political-military options to achieve U.S. strategic objectives with respect to the Korean Peninsula, and examined whether executing these options will introduce risk to other regional U.S. […]
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Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) of Strategic Outcomes in the Korean Peninsula- Part 1: Key Findings
Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) of Strategic Outcomes in the Korean Peninsula- Part 1: Key Findings Author(s): Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI, Inc.) Top-Level Findings This paper reports a number of the top-level findings from the Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Strategic Outcomes in the Korean Peninsula project requested by the Joint Staff J39 and USINDOPACOM. They are […]
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Western Pacific Regional Dynamics & North Korean Nuclear Status
Author(s): Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI, Inc.) and Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary Given the current distribution of actor interests, capabilities and resolve (I-R-C), North Korean denuclearization is highly unlikely without significant change in regional interests and conditions. Under current conditions: Neither economic incentives nor threats change the DPRK view of denuclearization –an outcome […]
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Comparative Analysis of Kim Family Political Discourse
Comparative Analysis of Kim Family Political Discourse Author(s): Weston Aviles (NSI, Inc.); Dr. Larry Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary This study was conducted to address three guiding questions: 1. How does DPRK define its key national interests/regional objectives in Northeast Asia and the Western Pacific? What are seen to be the major threats to each […]
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Necessary Conditions For Achieving FFVD Without Militarized Conflict – A Korea Strategic Outcomes Virtual Think Tank Report
[Q3] Under what regional and domestic political, economic, and social conditions would it be possible to achieve final, fully verified denuclearization (FFVD) of the DPRK without resorting to militarized conflict (i.e., what conditions would have had to occur to make that possible)? Author(s): George Popp (NSI, Inc.) and Mariah Yager (NSI, Inc.) Summary Response This […]
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Conditions Conducive to Enforcing a Non-Proliferation Regime in the Asia Pacific Region – A Korea Strategic Outcomes Virtual Think Tank Report
[Q4] Under what regional and domestic political, economic, and social conditions would it be possible to reinforce a non-proliferation regime in the region including extra-regional sales? What conditions would have had to occur to make that possible? Author(s): George Popp (NSI, Inc.) Summary Response This report summarizes the input of eighteen insightful responses from the […]
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Achieving a Stable Regional Order in the Asia Pacific: What Does the US Need and What Should It Not Negotiate Away – A Korea Strategic Outcomes Virtual Think Tank Report
[Q6] What are the minimum regional and domestic political, economic, and social conditions that are essential for achieving a stable regional order in alignment with US and ally interests? Are there any factors that are sufficient to generate such stability in the region? That is, what should not be negotiated away? Author(s): Dr. Belinda Bragg […]
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China’s ‘First Offset’ and Future Warfare
“A ‘New Era’ of Chinese Military Innovation — China’s ‘First Offset’ and Future Warfare” SMA hosted a speaker session with Elsa Kania (Center for a New American Security [CNAS]) as a part of its SMA Korea Strategic Outomes Speaker Series. This speaker session supported SMA’s Korea Strategic Outcomes project. For additional speaker sessions and project publications, […]
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