Avoiding Self-Deterrence in the Context of Nuclear Ambiguity

April 2025 No Comments

Volume V in the SMA Perspectives Series “Emergent Issues for U.S. National Security” Editors: Dr. Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.), Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI, Inc.), Dr. Hriar “Doc” Cabayan (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory), Nathan Heath (NSI, Inc) Publication Preview The context of this Report has to do with Russia’s use of nuclear ambiguity and implied nuclear […]

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Assessing Deterrence: Understanding Adversary Behaviour and Their Perception of our Behaviour

April 2025 No Comments

Speaker: Ambassador Catherine Royle (NATO, Joint Force Command Brunssum) Date: 8 April 2025 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Ambassador Catherine Royle (NATO, Joint Force Command Brunssum) and Stuart Smith (NATO, Joint Force Command Brunssum) as part of its SMA SDF Speaker Series. For Western allies to properly deter unwanted Russian actions, […]

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Who Will We—and They—be on Day 30 or Day 1000 in Deterrence?

January 2025 No Comments

Author: Dr. Nicholas Wright (Intelligent Biology) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The Joint Concept for Competing (JCC; Feb 2023) states that a ‘competitive mindset also means embracing strategic competition as a persistent and enduring […]

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Russian Leadership Values and Regional Goals in the Arctic

January 2025 No Comments

Author: Dr. Tomas Ries (National Defence College, Stockholm, Sweden) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview Table 1 (see next page) outlines seven areas in which the Russian leadership holds key values in the Arctic and […]

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United States Deterrence Policy: 1944-Present

January 2025 No Comments

Authors: Dr. Asya Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Rosemary Avance (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Sumin Shin (Oklahoma State University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This literature review analyzes […]

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Evolution of Deterrent thinking in USSR and Russia: A Look through Military Reports

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Authors: Dr. Asya Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Rosemary Avance (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Sumin Shin (Oklahoma State University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This comprehensive qualitative analysis […]

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Perceptual Deterrence

November 2024 No Comments

Author: Dr. Tom Tyler (Yale University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This review focuses on research findings about the effectiveness of the perceived risk of sanctions on criminal behavior. The goal of this […]

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International Collaboration in U.S. Integrated Deterrence: A Partner Perspective

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Authors: LTG (Ret), Dr. Dennis Gyllensporre (Swedish Defence University); MG (Ret) Bengt Svensson, Swedish Defence University This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This non-paper, prepared at the Swedish Defence University (SEDU), investigates the dynamics […]

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Escalation Management in the Early Stages of International Crisis

November 2024 No Comments

Authors: Dr. Kyle Beardsley (Duke University), Dr. Jonathan Wilkenfeld (START University of Maryland), & Phuong Pham (Duke University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This report evaluates how crisis actors respond to adversary actions […]

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Safely balancing a double-edged blade: Identifying and mitigating emerging biosecurity risks in precision medicine

September 2024 No Comments

Authors: Dr. Dianne DiEuliis (National Defense University) & Dr. James Giordano (Georgetown University Medical Center) Publication Preview: Tools and methods of precision medicine are developing rapidly, through both iterative discoveries enabled by innovations in biomedical research (e.g., genome editing, synthetic biology, bioengineered devices). These are strengthened by advancements in information technology and the increasing body […]

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