Influence Without Arms: The New Logic of Nuclear Deterrence
Speaker: Dr. Matthew Fuhrmann (Texas A&M University) Date: 21 May 2025 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Matthew Fuhrmann (Texas A&M University) as part of its SMA SDF Speaker Series. Nuclear latency refers to a state’s ability to engage in nuclear deterrence without developing or possessing nuclear weapons. Dr. Fuhrmann illustrated […]
Continue ReadingAvoiding Self-Deterrence in the Context of Nuclear Ambiguity
Volume V in the SMA Perspectives Series “Emergent Issues for U.S. National Security” Editors: Dr. Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.), Dr. Belinda Bragg (NSI, Inc.), Dr. Hriar “Doc” Cabayan (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory), Nathan Heath (NSI, Inc) Publication Preview The context of this Report has to do with Russia’s use of nuclear ambiguity and implied nuclear […]
Continue ReadingAssessing Deterrence: Understanding Adversary Behaviour and Their Perception of our Behaviour
Speaker: Ambassador Catherine Royle (NATO, Joint Force Command Brunssum) Date: 8 April 2025 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Ambassador Catherine Royle (NATO, Joint Force Command Brunssum) and Stuart Smith (NATO, Joint Force Command Brunssum) as part of its SMA SDF Speaker Series. For Western allies to properly deter unwanted Russian actions, […]
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Who Will We—and They—be on Day 30 or Day 1000 in Deterrence?
Author: Dr. Nicholas Wright (Intelligent Biology) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The Joint Concept for Competing (JCC; Feb 2023) states that a ‘competitive mindset also means embracing strategic competition as a persistent and enduring […]
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Russian Leadership Values and Regional Goals in the Arctic
Author: Dr. Tomas Ries (National Defence College, Stockholm, Sweden) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview Table 1 (see next page) outlines seven areas in which the Russian leadership holds key values in the Arctic and […]
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United States Deterrence Policy: 1944-Present
Authors: Dr. Asya Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Rosemary Avance (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Sumin Shin (Oklahoma State University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This literature review analyzes […]
Continue ReadingEvolution of Deterrent Thinking in USSR and Russia: A Look through Military Reports
Authors: Dr. Asya Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Rosemary Avance (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Sumin Shin (Oklahoma State University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This comprehensive qualitative analysis […]
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Perceptual Deterrence
Author: Dr. Tom Tyler (Yale University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This review focuses on research findings about the effectiveness of the perceived risk of sanctions on criminal behavior. The goal of this […]
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International Collaboration in U.S. Integrated Deterrence: A Partner Perspective
Authors: LTG (Ret), Dr. Dennis Gyllensporre (Swedish Defence University); MG (Ret) Bengt Svensson, Swedish Defence University This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This non-paper, prepared at the Swedish Defence University (SEDU), investigates the dynamics […]
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Escalation Management in the Early Stages of International Crisis
Authors: Dr. Kyle Beardsley (Duke University), Dr. Jonathan Wilkenfeld (START University of Maryland), & Phuong Pham (Duke University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This report evaluates how crisis actors respond to adversary actions […]
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