Deterrence Among Three to Twelve Nuclear Powers: Fundamental Instability and Mitigation Strategy
Author: Dr. Claudio Cioffi-Revilla (George Mason University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The fundamental instability of bilateral nuclear deterrence (Albert Wohlstetter’s “delicate balanceof terror”) is mitigated, in part, by each adversary deploying and […]
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Measuring Policy Effectiveness of Cyber Deterrence and Defensibility
Author: Mr. Jason Healey (Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The United States needs more effective metrics to determine if integrated cyber deterrence is working (as […]
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Conceptualizing the Deterrence of Terrorism in the Era of Strategic Competition
Author: Dr. Steven S. Sin (START, University of Maryland) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview Deterring terrorism literature began as a reaction following the events of September 11, 2001. Since that time, there has […]
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Irregular Warfare
Authors: Derek Jones (Valens Global), Madison Urban (Valens Global), & Dr. Kevin D. Stringer (General Jonas Zemaitis Military Academy of Lithuania) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview At the core of the United States […]
Continue ReadingKey Factors in Crisis Escalation
Author: Egle Murauskaite (University of Maryland) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview Over the past decade, the nature of international conflict has increasingly turned away from state-versus-state warfare becoming, instead, typified as relatively low-level […]
Continue ReadingRussian Nuclear Rhetoric 2014-2023: Transatlantic Differences in Threat Perception
Author: Egle Murauskaite (University of Maryland) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview After decades of discourse on disarmament and non-proliferation, the war in Ukraine has effectively marked the return of nuclear weapons to both […]
Continue ReadingMoloch, the Meta-Crisis, and Integrated Nuclear Deterrence
Authors: The Media Ecology and Strategy Analysis Group (MESA) Research Team Members: Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Sumin Shin (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Aysa Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Rosemary Avance (Oklahoma State University) Student Researchers: Dru Norton, Kelli Leech, Campbell Clark This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st […]
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Chinese Strategic Deterrence Frameworks
Author: Dr. James Sundquist (Yale University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview China does not have an overarching deterrence framework. However, it is possible to identify the primary objects of Chinese deterrence and describe […]
Continue ReadingNATO Strategic Foresight Analysis, Drivers of a Pervasive Competition
Author: NATO Allied Command Transformation This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023 (SFA23) provides a shared understanding of the EvolvingSecurity Environment to 2043, thus establishing the context for Allied futures […]
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Deterrence Effects of Policing Programs
Author: Dr. Kathleen Kiernan (NEC National Security Systems (NSS)) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview While there are parallels, the environment in which deterrence occurs for the U.S. Military is vastly different in context […]
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