Influence in an Age of Rising Connectedness. Author | Editor: W. Aviles & S. Canna (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary A strong argument can be made that we are moving toward a pluralized, multipolar world, in which military and economic sources of power are widely distributed. Technologies (e.g., the Internet and rapid means of mass migration) […]
Continue ReadingA Primer on the Neurocognitive Science of Aggression, Decision Making, and Deterrence. Author | Editor: DiEuliis, D. (Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction, National Defense University) & Giordano, J. (Departments of Neurology and Biochemistry, Georgetown University Medical Center). Executive Summary here are numerous national security challenges relative and relevant to the aggressive […]
Continue ReadingFuture of ISIS: What Do Experts Think Will Happen Next? Author | Editor: Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.). At its zenith in 2014, the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) controlled more than 100,000 square kilometers of territory. ISIS seized control over major cities, notably Mosul and Raqqa, which contributed to increasing disorder in […]
Continue ReadingNSI Submission to the Army University Press’s Mad Scientist Initiative: “Smoke, Mirrors and Mayhem: The Good Fight Remixed”. Author | Editor: Macaulay, A. & Stevenson, J. (NSI, Inc.). The Army University Press created the Future Warfare Writing Program to generate ideas about possible complexities of future warfare, as presented in the U.S. Army Operating Concept. […]
Continue ReadingThe Trajectory of U.S./North Korean Nuclear War: Insights from Kim Jong Un’s Rhetoric. Author | Editor: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary Hours after the Washington Post broke the story that North Korea may have miniaturized a nuclear warhead, enabling its ICBM to deliver a nuclear blow to U.S. soil, President Trump announced that if […]
Continue ReadingFrom Control to Influence: Cognition in the Grey Zone. Author | Editor: Wright, N. (Institute for Conflict, Cooperation and Security, University of Birmingham, UK). Executive Summary Understanding and influencing adversary decision-making in Grey Zones requires anticipating key audiences’ perceptions and decision-making. We apply the neuroscience and psychology of human decision-making to help U.S. policymakers produce […]
Continue ReadingGray Zone Conflicts, Challenges, and Opportunities – Executive Summaries of Team Reports. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc.). Table of Contents SPECIFYING & SYSTEMATIZING HOW WE THINK ABOUT THE GRAY ZON RISK AND AMBIGUITY IN THE GRAY ZONE GEOPOLITICAL VISIONS IN CHINESE MEDIA EXAMINATIONS OF SAUDI-IRANIAN GRAY ZONE COMPETITION IN MENA, AND OF POTENTIAL […]
Continue ReadingIntegration Report: Gray Zone Conflicts, Challenges, and Opportunities. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary United States Special Operations Command (USSOCOM) requested a Strategic Multilayer Assessment effort “to determine how the USG can identify, diagnose, and assess indirect strategies, and develop response options against associated types of gray zone conflicts.” This integration report […]
Continue ReadingGray Zone Challenge: Intent And Military Response. Author | Editor: Elder, R. (USAF, ret) & Levis, A. (George Mason University). Abstract Mapping political, security, societal and economic trends to the decision calculus of key regional and (as applicable) non-state actors has been used to gain insights into the behaviors of actors conducting multi- instrument operations […]
Continue ReadingMedia Visions Of The Gray Zone: Contrasting Geopolitical Narratives In Russian And Chinese Media. Author | Editor: Hinck, R., Kluver, R. (Texas A&M University) & Cooley, S. (Mississippi State University). Executive Summary The purpose of this effort was to contribute to the Strategic Multilayer Analysis by examining media messaging strategies in Russian and Chinese language […]
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