AFRICOM Exploitable Conditions Model (AECM) Network Analysis Report
Author: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview The physical, social, political, economic, and cultural systems that comprise the operational environmentinteract in complex ways. The Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Anticipating the Future OperationalEnvironment (AFOE) project models this complexity with special relevance to US national securityconcerns. The AFOE team constructed a generic Global Exploitable Conditions Model (GECM) […]
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Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) Sahelian Computational Models
Author: Dr. Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview This publication was released as part of a formal SMA effort, Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) project. For more information regarding this project, please click here. The physical, social, political, economic, and cultural systems comprise the operational environment andinteract in complex ways. The Strategic Multilayer Assessment […]
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How Strategy Must Align to Strategic Environments: Deterrence and Initiative Persistence
Speaker: Dr. Richard Harknett (University of Cincinnati) Date: 10 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Richard Harknett (University of Cincinnati) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. There have been several strategic paradigm shifts relating to deterrence, coercion, and security across the entire spectrum of conflict and […]
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CCP Weapons of Mass Persuasion
Speakers: Dr. Jackie Deal (President, Long Term Strategy Group) & Ms. Ella Harvey (Public Service Fellow, John’s Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies) Date: 2 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Jackie Deal (President, Long Term Strategy Group) and Ms. Ella Harvey (Public Service Fellow, John’s Hopkins School of Advanced International […]
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Escalation Management in International Conflict: The United States and its Adversaries
Speakers: Egle Murauskaite (ICONS Project, University of Maryland), and Devin H. Ellis (Applied Research Laboratory for Intelligence and Security (ARLIS), University of Maryland) Date: 25 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Ms. Egle Murauskaite (ICONS Project, University of Maryland) and Mr. Devin H. Ellis (Applied Research Laboratory for Intelligence and Security (ARLIS), University of Maryland) as […]
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Military-Intelligence Relations: Explaining the Oxymoron
Speaker: Dr. Jeffrey Rogg (Joint Special Operations University) Date: 26 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Jeffrey Rogg(Joint Special Operations University) as part of its SMA General Series. The professionalization of the US intelligence community has been a long process and frequently limited by the civilian-military relationship. The relationship between […]
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Combined-Effects Competition & Warfare: Strategies from China and Russia
Speaker: Dr. Tom Drohan (Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies) Date: 19 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Thomas Drohan (Professor Emeritus of Military and Strategic Studies, U.S. Air Force Academy; Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. Authoritarian regimes and democratic […]
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Insights on 20 Years of Counterinsurgency Research
Speaker: Dr. Elizabeth Radziszewski (University of Maryland START, Irregular Warfare and Conflict Assessment Group) Date: 18 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Elizabeth Radziszewski (University of Maryland, National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Through the 2000s and […]
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Caveat Emptor: The Pros and Cons of Strategic Culture as an Analytical Concept
Speaker: Dr. Alastair Johnston (Harvard University) Date: 12 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Alastair Iain Johnston (Harvard University) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. Dr. Johnston described the four main generations of strategic culture research. During the first generation (1970s) a baseline was […]
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The COVID-19 Intelligence Failure: Why Warning Was Not Enough
Speaker: Dahl, E. (Naval Postgraduate School) Date: 5 April 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Erik Dahl (National Security Affairs Department, Naval Postgraduate School) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Scholars and members of the intelligence community have historically caught early warning signs of national security disasters—like the COVID-19 […]
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