Assessing the Evolving Russian Nuclear Threat
Speakers: Dr. Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Nicholas Lokker, and Heli Hautala (Center for a New American Security) and Michael Kofman (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) Date: 17 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Nicholas Lokker, and Heli Hautala (Center for a New American Security), and Michael Kofman (Carnegie Endowment […]
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The Globalization Myth: Why Regions Matter
Speaker: Shannon K. O’Neill (Council on Foreign Relations) Date: 16 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary Dr. O’Neil offers a reframed perspective on economic globalization, highlighting the prominence of increased interregional trade rather than international trade. She comments that, with a few notable exceptions like Boeing, the movement of goods and products has predominantly remained regional […]
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The Sanctions Response to Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine
Speaker: Christine Abely (New England Law | Boston) Date: 9 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary The sanctions imposed on Russia in response to its past aggressive actions, such as the annexation of Crimea, targeted actors directly involved in its aggression. However, the current sanctions imposed on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine have a much […]
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A Climate of Insecurity? Exploring the Nexus of Climate Change and National Security
Speaker: Dr. Samuel Henkin (NSI, Inc.) Date: 4 April 2024 Speaker Session Summary The rapidly evolving global climate system is undergoing changes at an unprecedented rate, placing significant strains on governments and communities worldwide. Dr. Henkin underscored that climate change functions as a threat multiplier, intensifying existing social, political, and economic tensions. The concept of […]
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Measuring Policy Effectiveness of Cyber Deterrence and Defensibility
Author: Mr. Jason Healey (Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs) Publication Preview The United States needs more effective metrics to determine if integrated cyber deterrence is working (as called for in the 2023 cyber strategy for the Department of Defense (DOD)) as expected and to separate these effects from those of improving the […]
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Conceptualizing the Deterrence of Terrorism in the Era of Strategic Competition
Author: Dr. Steven S. Sin (START, University of Maryland) Publication Preview Deterring terrorism literature began as a reaction following the events of September 11, 2001. Since that time, there has been fairly robust research that applied deterrence theory to terrorism, terrorists, and violent non-state actors in general. This paper explores both the innovations and pitfalls […]
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Measuring Policy Effectiveness of Cyber Deterrence and Defensibility
Speaker: Jason Healey (Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs) Date: 28 March 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Mr. Jason Healey (Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. Cyber deterrence differs significantly from conventional deterrence, particularly nuclear deterrence. Mr. […]
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Irregular Deterrence: How Irregular Activity Contributes to Integrated Deterrence
Authors: Derek Jones (Valens Global), Madison Urban (Valens Global), & Dr. Kevin D. Stringer (General Jonas Zemaitis Military Academy of Lithuania) Publication Preview At the core of the United States 2022 National Defense Strategy is the concept of integrated deterrence, using the full range of tools of statecraft to convince a potential adversary that an […]
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Key Factors in Crisis Escalation
Author: Egle Murauskaite (University of Maryland) Publication Preview Over the past decade, the nature of international conflict has increasingly turned away from state-versus-state warfare becoming, instead, typified as relatively low-level crises. Different authors and institutionshave characterized this as gray zone warfare, hybrid warfare, or competition-short-of-war. The tools (i.e.,courses of action) used in this deliberately ambiguous […]
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Russian Nuclear Rhetoric 2014-2023: Transatlantic Differences in Threat Perception
Author: Egle Murauskaite (University of Maryland) Publication Preview After decades of discourse on disarmament and non-proliferation, the war in Ukraine has effectively marked the return of nuclear weapons to both mainstream public rhetoric and military-policy planning, and highlighted the growing importance of strategic deterrence. Russia’s progressively more intense nuclear saber-rattling over the past decade is […]
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