Extended Deterrence Across the Continuum of Conflict

February 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Dr. Maximilian Hoell (LLNL) Date: 20 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Maximilian Hoell (LLNL) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. Since the end of the Cold War, US extended deterrence has undergone significant evolution, initially appearing to diminish in importance with the perceived decrease […]

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The Future of US-Russian Relations

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Speaker: Thomas Graham (Council on Foreign Relations) Date: 22 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary Even in the event of a military defeat suffered by Russia at the hands of Ukraine, it will continue to pose a formidable adversary to the US for the foreseeable future. Despite this adversarial stance, there will also be opportunities for […]

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The Mind-Tech Nexus: Army Futures Command Meeting Tomorrow’s Challenges

February 2024 No Comments

Speaker: General James E. Rainey (Army Futures Command) Date: 15 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with General James E. Rainey (Army Futures Command) as part of its SMA Mind-Tech Nexus Speaker Series. Five years ago, the Army Futures Command was established with the primary objective of studying and preparing the army for […]

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NATO Strategic Foresight Analysis, Drivers of a Pervasive Competition

February 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Dr. Gergely Németh (NATO Supreme Allied Command Transformation) Date: 14 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Gergely Németh (NATO Supreme Allied Command Transformation) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. NATO Allied Command Transformation (ACT) recently released its Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023 report. This analysis, developed […]

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North Korea in Regional—and Global—Multi-body Nuclear Strategy

February 2024 No Comments

Speakers: Markus Garlauskas (Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Atlantic Council) and Dr. Lauren Sukin (The London School of Economics and Political Science) Date: 8 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Mr. Markus Garlauskas (Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Atlantic Council) and Dr. Lauren Sukin (The London School of […]

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On Persuasion

February 2024 No Comments

Speakers: Mr. Bas Wouters (Cialdini Institute) Date: 6 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary During his presentation, Mr. Wouters delved into the original model developed by the Cialdini Institute, alongside two recently-devised tools tailored for assessing a target audience’s interests and executing an influence campaign. He underscored the foundational work outlined in Dr. Cialdini’s seminal book, […]

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Chinese Strategic Deterrence Frameworks

January 2024 No Comments

Author: Dr. James Sundquist (Yale University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview China does not have an overarching deterrence framework. However, it is possible to identify the primary objects of Chinese deterrence and describe […]

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Great Power Economic Competition, the PRC Economic Challenge, and the Prospects of De-Dollarization

January 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Dr. Brandon Kirk Williams (LLNL) Date: 1 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary China aims to de-dollarize the world economy, utilizing BRICS member states—namely Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates—as a beachhead in the global economic system. According to Dr. Williams, there are two other important strategies employed […]

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NATO Strategic Foresight Analysis, Drivers of a Pervasive Competition

January 2024 No Comments

Author: NATO Allied Command Transformation This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023 (SFA23) provides a shared understanding of the EvolvingSecurity Environment to 2043, thus establishing the context for Allied futures […]

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AI-Driven Expert-Validated Threat and Foreign Influence Assessments

January 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Ms. Jacki Davenport (Seerist) Date: 25 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Seerist developed an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled threat intelligence platform that utilizes information from open-source resources to identify, monitor, and track global threats. Alongside Deloitte, Seerist also developed the Foreign Influence Risk Index (FIRI), which examines the dynamics of great power competition. Seerist’s AI-enabled […]

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