Renewal: From Crisis to Transformation in Our Lives, Work, and Politics

December 2021 No Comments

Speaker(s): Slaughter, A. (New America) Date: 14 December 2021 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Anne-Marie Slaughter (CEO, New America) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series.  Dr. Slaughter commented that a country that truly allows its citizens to take risks and be entrepreneurial should also provide enough support for them […]

Continue Reading

The Shape of the Future Operating Environment: How Our Adversaries Have Learned to Stop Worrying and Ignore the Bomb

December 2021 No Comments

Author: Bragg, B. (NSI) Video Preview In July of this year, at the request of USSTRATCOM, SMA initiated an effort to address eight questions regarding the implications of the increasing numbers, and expanding capabilities, of US nuclear adversaries. This report addresses two of those questions: [Q2] What are US competitors (Russia, China, Iran, DPRK) doing […]

Continue Reading

SMA 21st Century Strategic Challenges: Strategy and Planning for Diterrence and Triterrence

December 2021 No Comments

Author: Astorino-Courtois, A. (NSI) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Question of Focus [Q1] Does deterrence theory change if the US faces two nuclear-armed, near-peer competitors? If so, how? What are the impacts to strategy? If not, […]

Continue Reading

Information Warfare and the New Threat Environment

No Comments

Speakers: Elisabeth Braw (American Enterprise Institute (AEI)); James Farwell (The Farwell Group); Dr. Christopher Paul (RAND) Date: 8 December 2021 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a panel discussion with Dr. Christopher Paul (RAND), Mr. James P. Farwell (The Farwell Group), and Ms. Elisabeth Braw (American Enterprise Institute (AEI)) as part of its SMA INSS/PRISM Speaker Series. Information […]

Continue Reading

Guide to Analytic Techniques for Nuclear Strategy Analysis

No Comments

Authors | Editors: Belinda Bragg (NSI, Inc.); George Popp (NSI, Inc.); and Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Question of Focus [Q8] What are key analytic approaches that USSTRATCOM planners might use to assess […]

Continue Reading

China’s Historical Plutonium Production

No Comments

Authors: Dr. John Swegle (National Strategic Research Institute) and Dr. Christopher Yeaw (National Strategic Research Institute) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview In this paper, we reevaluate China’s production of weapons-grade plutonium (WGPu) in order to […]

Continue Reading

Modeling Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure

December 2021 No Comments

Authors: Lt. Gen (Ret) Robert Elder (George Mason University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview George Mason University (GMU) worked with Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) to model risk of strategic deterrence failure, […]

Continue Reading

The Challenge of Russia’s Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons: Western Air Supremacy as One Russian Justification for NSNW

No Comments

Authors: Roy Boone (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska); David Rehbein (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska); John Swegle (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska); Christopher Yeaw (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure.” For more information […]

Continue Reading

The Escalatory Attraction of Limited Nuclear Employment For Great Power Competitors of the United States

No Comments

Authors: Christopher Yeaw (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Risk of Strategic Deterrence Failure.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The United States has entered into a dangerously new era in which, for the first time in our nation’s history, […]

Continue Reading

Challenges to 21st Century Deterrence (Part II)

No Comments

Speakers: Lt Gen (Ret) Robert Elder, PhD (George Mason University); James Siebens (Defense Strategy & Planning Program, Stimson Center); Dr. Christopher Yeaw (National Strategic Research Institute, University of Nebraska) Date: 9 December 2021 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a panel discussion with Lt Gen (Ret) Robert Elder, PhD (George Mason University), Mr. James A. Siebens […]

Continue Reading