Assessment of Strategic Implications of Population Dynamics in the Central Region—Integration Report: Great Power Competition
Author | Editors: Belinda Bragg (NSI, Inc.); Sarah Canna (NSI, Inc.); and George Popp (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Preview At the request of the United States Central Command (USCENTCOM), SMA initiated […]
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Oman Succession Crisis 2020
Author | Editor: Vern Liebl (Center for Advanced Operational Culture Learning [CAOCL]); Yager, M. (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Invited Perspective Preview Note: This assessment was written before the death of Sultan […]
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SMA CENTCOM Panel Discussion on Radicalization (Part II)
Speakers: Dr. David Dorondo (Western Carolina University); George Popp (NSI, Inc.); Thomas Rieger (NSI, Inc.); Dr. Peter Suedfeld (University of British Columbia) Date: 17 March 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a panel discussion as a part of its SMA CENTCOM Speaker Series. The panelists included Dr. David Dorondo (Western Carolina University), Mr. George Popp (NSI, Inc.), Dr. Peter Suedfeld (University of British Columbia), […]
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Summary of Previous Radicalization Work
Author | Editor: Ali Jafri (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Download Publication Please contact Sarah Canna (scanna@nsiteam.com) if you are interested in requesting access to this report.
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A Strategic Analysis of Violent Extremist Organizations in the United States Central Command Area of Responsibility
Authors: Michael Logan (University of Nebraska, Omaha); Lauren Zimmerman (University of Nebraska, Omaha); Gina Ligon (University of Nebraska, Omaha) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Executive Summary In this study, our research team examines the organizational sophistication, leadership, and tactical patterns of […]
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A “Colder War” Future in the USCENTCOM AOR? Realpolitik Trajectory of Major Powers and Regional Players
Authors: Dr. Maorong Jiang (Creighton University); and Dr. David Dorondo (Western Carolina University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Report Abstract and Methodology This paper addresses potential security concerns in the Middle East and North Africa […]
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SMA CENTCOM Panel Discussion—Black Swans and Gray Rhinos in the CENTCOM AOR: Vigilance Against the Unsuspected and Keeping Our Eyes on the Prize
Authors | Editors: Dr. Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) & Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary Four panelists with deep knowledge and experience in the USCENTCOM AOR and with complex systems modeling were asked to reflect on how to think about and anticipate surprises in the USCENTCOM area of responsibility (AOR), especially Black Swan surprises that are the product […]
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Hunting Gray Rhinos and Black Swans: Statistical and Machine Learning Models of Political Stability and Terrorism
Authors | Editor: Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.); Jeffrey Day (NSI, Inc.); and Eric Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Executive Summary Strategic surprise, the realization that one’s knowledge and assumptions are wrong and the adversary […]
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SMA CENTCOM Panel Discussion on Radicalization (Part I)
Speakers: Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.); Dr. Nicholas Wright (Intelligent Biology); Dr. Sabrina (Pagano) Polansky (NSI, Inc.); Dr. Karl Kaltenthaler (University of Akron); Dr. Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.); Howard Lee (US Army TRADOC) Date: 10 March 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a panel discussion as a part of its SMA CENTCOM Speaker Series. The panelists […]
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Thresholds in Cyberspace
Speaker: Schneider, J. (Hoover Institution, Stanford University) Date: 11 March 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Jacquelyn Schneider (Hoover Institution, Stanford University) as a part of its SMA GeneralSpeaker Series. Dr. Schneider first stated that the creation and management of thresholds is critical to the success of US strategy. She then cited Connable et al.’s when defining […]
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