Assessing Buffers and Drivers of Conflict in the Arab Gulf
Authors: Weston Aviles (NSI, Inc.); Tom Rieger (NSI, Inc.); and Alex Goncharova (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Bottom Line Up Front Experts contend that the risk of militarization of the dispute between Qatar and the Quartet is low. However, prolonged tension […]
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Potential Paths to Instability in Jordan
Authors: Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.), Dr. Allison Astorino-Courtois (NSI, Inc.), & Tom Rieger (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Bottom Line What would be the strongest catalyst leading to a civil war/revolt in Jordan? It is […]
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Preventing Radicalization among Internally Displaced People in Syria and Iraq
Authors: Karl Kaltenthaler (University of Akron) and Arie Kruglanski (University of Maryland) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Key Questions Motivating Study Abstract There are tremendous numbers of internally displaced people (IDPs) in Syria and Iraq as a […]
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Young People Aged 0-17: Neuroscience and Cognition to Break Cycles of Radicalization
Author: Nicholas Wright (Intelligent Biology) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Executive Summary [B1] How do we break the cycle of radicalization, particularly with children who know no other social system/model of governance? Are there possible […]
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Affording New Futures: The Neuroscience and Cognition of Reintegration and Reconciliation
Author: Nicholas Wright (Intelligent Biology) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Executive Summary [B4] How do you reintegrate radicalized people back into society? Both Saudi Arabia and Pakistan have centers focussed on this problem. What should the […]
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Black Swans and Gray Rhinos in the CENTCOM AOR: Vigilance Against the Unsuspected and Keeping Our Eyes on the Prize
Speakers: Dr. Jonathan Wilkenfeld (University of Maryland); Dr. Claudio Cioffi-Revilla (George Mason University); LTC Tom Pike (National Intelligence University); Dr. Sean Lawson. (University of Utah); Dr. Larry Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) Date: 4 March 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a panel discussion as a part of its SMA CENTCOM Speaker Series. The panelists included Dr. Jonathan Wilkenfeld (University of Maryland), Dr. Claudio […]
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Why Deterrence Is Dead
“Why Deterrence Is Dead“ Speaker: Lewis, J. (Center for Strategic and International Studies [CSIS]) Date: 3 March 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. James Lewis (Center for Strategic and International Studies [CSIS]) as a part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Dr. Lewis first stated that what the US signals and what China and Russia interpret those signals to mean are often entirely different. This constant misinterpretation is […]
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Child’s Play: Cooperative Games as Tools of Deradicalization
Authors: Asya Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Robert Hinck (Monmouth College); and Sara Kitsch (Monmouth College) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. Executive Summary Research on radicalization is more robust theoretically than research on deradicalization. While […]
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Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Futures Study with an Assessment of Syrian Refugee Camp Radicalization Dynamics
Authors: Howard Lee (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate); Dr. Jumanne Donahue (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate); Nathan ‘Luke’ Roth (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate); and Dr. David Hunter-Chester (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional […]
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Stability in US-Egyptian Relations: Why the United States is Unlikely to Make a Major Policy Shift in Response to Egyptian Events
Authors: Sabrina (Pagano) Polansky (NSI, Inc.); and Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.” For more information regarding this project, please click here. NSI Reachback Report Preview The United States’ relationship with Egypt is generally thought to be an important one […]
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