Black Swans and Gray Rhinos in the CENTCOM AOR: Vigilance Against the Unsuspected and Keeping Our Eyes on the Prize

March 2020 No Comments

Speakers: Dr. Jonathan Wilkenfeld (University of Maryland); Dr. Claudio Cioffi-Revilla (George Mason University); LTC Tom Pike (National Intelligence University); Dr. Sean Lawson. (University of Utah); Dr. Larry Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) Date: 4 March 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a panel discussion as a part of its SMA CENTCOM Speaker Series. The panelists included Dr. Jonathan Wilkenfeld (University of Maryland), Dr. Claudio […]

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Why Deterrence Is Dead

March 2020 No Comments

“Why Deterrence Is Dead“ Speaker: Lewis, J. (Center for Strategic and International Studies [CSIS]) Date: 3 March 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. James Lewis (Center for Strategic and International Studies [CSIS]) as a part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Dr. Lewis first stated that what the US signals and what China and Russia interpret those signals to mean are often entirely different. This constant misinterpretation is […]

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Child’s Play: Cooperative Games as Tools of Deradicalization

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Authors: Asya Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Robert Hinck (Monmouth College); and Sara Kitsch (Monmouth College) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. Executive Summary Research on radicalization is more robust theoretically than research on deradicalization. While […]

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Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Futures Study with an Assessment of Syrian Refugee Camp Radicalization Dynamics

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Authors: Howard Lee (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate); Dr. Jumanne Donahue (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate); Nathan ‘Luke’ Roth (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate); and Dr. David Hunter-Chester (US Army TRADOC G-2 Modeling and Simulation Directorate) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional […]

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Stability in US-Egyptian Relations: Why the United States is Unlikely to Make a Major Policy Shift in Response to Egyptian Events

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Authors: Sabrina (Pagano) Polansky (NSI, Inc.); and Nicole (Peterson) Omundson (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. NSI Reachback Report Preview The United States’ relationship with Egypt is generally thought to be an important one […]

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SMA AFRICOM Panel Discussion- Libya

February 2020 No Comments

“SMA AFRICOM Panel Discussion- Libya“ Speakers: Nagata, M. (CACI International); Pack, J. (Libya-Analysis LLC); Winer, J. (Middle East Institute) Date: 28 February 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a panel discussion as a part of its SMA AFRICOM Speaker Series. The panelists included LTG(R) Michael K. Nagata (Consolidated Analysis Center, Incorporated [CACI]), Mr. Jason Pack (Libya-Analysis LLC), and Mr. Jonathan Winer (Middle East Institute). […]

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Red Teaming Great Power Competition in the USCENTCOM AOR

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Authors: Gary Ackerman (University of Albany); Anna Wetzel (University of Albany); Douglas Clifford (University of Albany); Haley Peterson (University of Albany); and Jenna Latourette (University of Albany) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. Executive Summary As […]

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Rights and the Challenge of Belonging

February 2020 No Comments

“Rights and the Challenge of Belonging“ Speakers: Seligman, A. (Boston University & Communities Engaging with Difference and Religion [CEDAR]); Montgomery, D. (University of Maryland & CEDAR) Date: 26 February 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Adam Seligman (Boston University & Communities Engaging with Difference and Religion [CEDAR]) and Dr. David Montgomery (University of Maryland […]

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Gaming Gray Zone Tactics: Design Considerations for a Structured Strategic Game

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“Gaming Gray Zone Tactics: Design Considerations for a Structured Strategic Game“ Speakers: Pettyjohn, S. (RAND); Wasser, R. (RAND) Date: 25 February 2020 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Stacie Pettyjohn (RAND) and Ms. Becca Wasser (RAND) as a part of its SMA EUCOM Speaker Series. Dr. Pettyjohn first stated that the gray zone is “more usefully […]

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Dealing with Radicalization in IDP Camps

February 2020 No Comments

Authors: Lawrence Kuznar (NSI, Inc.); Ali Jafri (NSI, Inc.); and Eric Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project, “CENTCOM Regional and Population Dynamics in the Central Region.”  For more information regarding this project, please click here. NSI Reachback Report Preview The Middle Eastern region of the USCENTCOM area of responsibility (AOR) currently […]

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