Measuring Policy Effectiveness of Cyber Deterrence and Defensibility

March 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Jason Healey (Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs) Date: 28 March 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Mr. Jason Healey (Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. Cyber deterrence differs significantly from conventional deterrence, particularly nuclear deterrence. Mr. […]

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Irregular Deterrence: How Irregular Activity Contributes to Integrated Deterrence

March 2024 No Comments

Authors: Derek Jones (Valens Global), Madison Urban (Valens Global), & Dr. Kevin D. Stringer (General Jonas Zemaitis Military Academy of Lithuania) Publication Preview At the core of the United States 2022 National Defense Strategy is the concept of integrated deterrence, using the full range of tools of statecraft to convince a potential adversary that an […]

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Key Factors in Crisis Escalation

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Author: Egle Murauskaite (University of Maryland) Publication Preview Over the past decade, the nature of international conflict has increasingly turned away from state-versus-state warfare becoming, instead, typified as relatively low-level crises. Different authors and institutionshave characterized this as gray zone warfare, hybrid warfare, or competition-short-of-war. The tools (i.e.,courses of action) used in this deliberately ambiguous […]

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Russian Nuclear Rhetoric 2014-2023: Transatlantic Differences in Threat Perception

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Author: Egle Murauskaite (University of Maryland) Publication Preview After decades of discourse on disarmament and non-proliferation, the war in Ukraine has effectively marked the return of nuclear weapons to both mainstream public rhetoric and military-policy planning, and highlighted the growing importance of strategic deterrence. Russia’s progressively more intense nuclear saber-rattling over the past decade is […]

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Assessing the Impact of China’s Slowing Economy on CCP Legitimacy using Hyperlocal Population Data

March 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Katherine Ly (Fraym) Date: 21 March 2024 Speaker Session Summary The Chinese economy has enjoyed massive growth during the last few decades as its economy transitioned from mostly agrarian to the world’s largest trading nation and an industrial superpower. This trend of Chinese economic growth has drastically slowed or reversed in several key areas. […]

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Upstart: How China Became a Great Power

March 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Dr. Oriana Skylar Mastro (Stanford University) Date: 12 March 2024 Speaker Session Summary China’s ascent as a formidable challenger to the United States, both economically and militarily, represents a significant shift from just a quarter-century ago. In her recent book, “Upstart: How China Became a Great Power,” Dr. Mastro delves into the rapid trajectory […]

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Moloch, the Meta-Crisis, and Integrated Nuclear Deterrence

March 2024 No Comments

Authors: The Media Ecology and Strategy Analysis Group (MESA) Research Team Members: Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Sumin Shin (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Aysa Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Rosemary Avance (Oklahoma State University) Student Researchers: Dru Norton, Kelli Leech, Campbell Clark Publication Preview This project examines global perspectives on evolving nuclear challenges […]

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Why, What, and How Free Societies Must Develop Effective Deterrence of Actors Intending Bad Ends Given Our GenAI Era

February 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Dr. David Bray (Stimson Center; LeadDoAdapt Ventures) Date: 13 March 2024 Speaker Session Summary The advent of widespread internet access and the emergence of new forms of generative AI (GenAI) have broken down the physical boundaries that once separated international and intranational communities. Dr. Bray delineates three overarching trends that delineate the interplay between […]

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Building Solutions to Post-conflict Stabilization

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Speakers: Dr. Beatrice Heuser (University of Glasgow) with Guest Host Jack Gaines (One CA Podcast) Date: 6 March 2024 Speaker Session Summary The optimal outcome of any military conflict is a lasting peace in the post-war period. Professor Heuser discusses insights from historical and ongoing conflicts that shed light on the factors influencing the establishment […]

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China and the Global South: Big Ambitions, Big Challenges

February 2024 No Comments

Speaker: Michael Schuman (Atlantic Council) Date: 27 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary China’s economic slowdown coupled with its ambition to continuously compete with the US both economically and politically is compelling Beijing to intensify its efforts to increase political influence in the Global South. Mr. Schuman, who authored an article on why China will struggle […]

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