An Analysis of Prime Minister Imran Khan’s Discourse From 2008 – 2018 Contributors: Aviles, W. & Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary This study was conducted to address the question: How can the US increase the resolve and capability of Pakistan to support political reconciliation in Afghanistan and the region? Two methods of textual analysis […]
Continue ReadingPost-Negotiated Settlement Afghan Stability Dynamics Contributors: TRADOC G27 Models and Simulations Branch Executive Summary This paper provides the TRADOC G27 Models and Simulations Branch initial assessment for Phases I and II of the Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) CENTCOM Afghanistan project. Phase I specifically assessed the impact of three different hypothetical Afghan government constructs: Centralized, Enhanced […]
Continue ReadingThe Options for Getting to Political Reconciliation in Afghanistan Contributors: Jafri, A., Stevenson, J., Kuznar, E. & Canna, S. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary In August of 2018, United States Central Command asked the Strategic Multilayer Assessment Reachback team, How can the United States best increase the resolve and capability of regional actors to get to […]
Continue Reading“Contagious Counterinsurgency: How Civilian Social Networks Shape Military Control” Speaker: Haim, D. (Dartmouth College) Date: 18 December 2018 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Dotan Haim (Dartmouth College) as a part of its SMA STRATCOM Speaker Series. During his presentation, Dr. Haim argued that the strength of civilian social networks, […]
Continue Reading“Grand Strategy” Speaker: Layton, P. (New America) Date: 13 December 2018 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted an exclusive Q&A session featuring Dr. Peter Layton (Griffith Asia Institute, Griffith University) as a part of its Future of Global Power Competition & Conflict Speaker Series. Dr. Layton highlighted the two primary premises upon which his book, entitled […]
Continue Reading“Is Fait Accompli the Primary Challenge for Deterrence in the 21st Century?” Speaker: Altman, D. (Georgia State University) Date: 12 December 2018 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Daniel Altman (Georgia State University) as a part of its SMA STRATCOM Academic Alliance Speaker Series. During this presentation, Dr. Altman argued […]
Continue Reading“What Deters and Why: Exploring Effective Deterrence of Interstate Aggression” Speaker: Mazarr, M. (RAND) Date: 11 December 2018 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Michael Mazarr (RAND) as a part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Dr. Mazarr spoke about a recent RAND study, entitled “What Deters and Why: Assessing […]
Continue ReadingAssessment of Pathways to Regime Collapse in the DPRK Author(s): Dr. Larry Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) and Dr. Sabrina Polansky (Pagano) (NSI, Inc.) Introduction and Purpose of Study The collapse of the North Korean economy and disastrous famine of the mid-1990s forced the regime to adapt its centrally-planned economy—most notably by allowing limited and small-scale private […]
Continue Reading“Modeling Persuasion through Human/Machine Coding” Speakers: Ng, V. (University of Texas at Dallas); Rankin, M. (University of Texas at Dallas) Date: 7 December 2018 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Monica Rankin (University of Texas at Dallas) and Dr. Vincent Ng (University of Texas at Dallas) as a part of […]
Continue Reading“Chinese Strategic Interests and Operations in Central Asia” Speaker: Pantucci, R. (Royal United Services Institute) Date: 4 December 2018 Speaker Session Preview SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Mr. Raffaello Pantucci (Royal United Services Institute [RUSI]) as a part of its Future of Global Competition & Conflict Speaker Series. To begin his presentation, Mr. […]
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