Gray Zone Conflicts, Challenges, and Opportunities – Executive Summaries of Team Reports. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc.). Table of Contents SPECIFYING & SYSTEMATIZING HOW WE THINK ABOUT THE GRAY ZON RISK AND AMBIGUITY IN THE GRAY ZONE GEOPOLITICAL VISIONS IN CHINESE MEDIA EXAMINATIONS OF SAUDI-IRANIAN GRAY ZONE COMPETITION IN MENA, AND OF POTENTIAL […]
Continue ReadingIntegration Report: Gray Zone Conflicts, Challenges, and Opportunities. Author | Editor: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary United States Special Operations Command (USSOCOM) requested a Strategic Multilayer Assessment effort “to determine how the USG can identify, diagnose, and assess indirect strategies, and develop response options against associated types of gray zone conflicts.” This integration report […]
Continue ReadingGray Zone Challenge: Intent And Military Response. Author | Editor: Elder, R. (USAF, ret) & Levis, A. (George Mason University). Abstract Mapping political, security, societal and economic trends to the decision calculus of key regional and (as applicable) non-state actors has been used to gain insights into the behaviors of actors conducting multi- instrument operations […]
Continue ReadingMedia Visions Of The Gray Zone: Contrasting Geopolitical Narratives In Russian And Chinese Media. Author | Editor: Hinck, R., Kluver, R. (Texas A&M University) & Cooley, S. (Mississippi State University). Executive Summary The purpose of this effort was to contribute to the Strategic Multilayer Analysis by examining media messaging strategies in Russian and Chinese language […]
Continue ReadingQuantifying Gray Zone Conflict: (De-)escalatory Trends in Gray Zone Conflicts in Colombia, Libya and Ukraine. Author | Editor: Koven, B., Piplani, V., Sin, S. & Boyd, M. (START). Executive Summary This report employs frequentist statistical analysis in order to model the effects of various factors, including the type of actors (state, violent non-state actor (VNSA) […]
Continue ReadingUS-DiGIA: Overview and Methodology of US Discoverable Government Information Assets Directory. Author | Editor: Polansky (Pagano), S. (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary The United States Government possesses a vast store of information assets that can be leveraged to inform a variety of problem sets, and can be used by a wide range of governmental actors in […]
Continue ReadingQuestion (R4.8): Are there impediments to cooperation amongst GCC nations that reduce their effectiveness towards undesirable or adverse regional issues? If so, how could impediments be overcome? Author | Editor: Aviles, W. (NSI, Inc.). Executive Summary At the time of the writing of this executive summary, the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) has experienced a diplomatic […]
Continue Reading1. How have regional governments responded to Ma’soud Barzani’s announcement of a referendum on Iraqi Kurdish independence to be held in September? 2. How have different sub-state groups responded, to include different Kurdish factions in Iraq and across borders? 3. How are the Kurds using the independence referendum to leverage their interests? Author | Editor: […]
Continue ReadingQuestion (R4.9): What are the medium to long term implications to US interests and posture of China’s economic, diplomatic and military expansion into South Asia, Middle East and Africa? Author | Editor: Hayes Ellis, D. (University of Maryland). Executive Summary “It’s the Economy Stupid!” Perhaps unsurprisingly, all the contributors to this question devoted attention to […]
Continue ReadingAuthor | Editor: Popp, G. (NSI, Inc). The EUCOM video highlights work NSI did in collaboration with the Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) office and the US Department of Defense to apply NSI’s Virtual Think Tank (ViTTa) methodology to examine potential drivers of conflict and convergence in Eurasia over the next 5-25 years. For access to […]
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