The Mind-Tech Nexus: Army Futures Command Meeting Tomorrow’s Challenges
Speaker: General James E. Rainey (Army Futures Command) Date: 15 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary Five years ago, the Army Futures Command was established with the primary objective of studying and preparing the army for future conflicts. Central to this endeavor is the exploration of human-machine integration. General Rainey posited that the world is currently […]
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NATO Strategic Foresight Analysis, Drivers of a Pervasive Competition
Speaker: Dr. Gergely Németh (NATO Supreme Allied Command Transformation) Date: 14 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary NATO Allied Command Transformation (ACT) recently released its Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023 report. This analysis, developed through a collaborative effort involving 10 workshops and engagement with 800 experts from allied and partner nations, represents a comprehensive reevaluation of the […]
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North Korea in Regional—and Global—Multi-body Nuclear Strategy
Speakers: Mr. Markus Garlauskas (Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, Atlantic Council) & Dr. Lauren Sukin (The London School of Economics and Political Science) Date: 8 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary If a global multi-front conflict were to erupt, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) would emerge as a significant player due to its […]
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On Persuasion
Speakers: Mr. Bas Wouters (Cialdini Institute) Date: 6 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary During his presentation, Mr. Wouters delved into the original model developed by the Cialdini Institute, alongside two recently-devised tools tailored for assessing a target audience’s interests and executing an influence campaign. He underscored the foundational work outlined in Dr. Cialdini’s seminal book, […]
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Chinese Strategic Deterrence Frameworks
Author: Dr. James Sundquist (Yale University) Publication Preview China does not have an overarching deterrence framework. However, it is possible to identify the primary objects of Chinese deterrence and describe the Chinese playbook. China’s core strategic aims consist of deterring 1) a nuclear attack; 2) conventional, space, and cyber-attacks; and 3) outside efforts to encourage […]
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Great Power Economic Competition, the PRC Economic Challenge, and the Prospects of De-Dollarization
Speaker: Dr. Brandon Kirk Williams (LLNL) Date: 1 February 2024 Speaker Session Summary China aims to de-dollarize the world economy, utilizing BRICS member states—namely Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates—as a beachhead in the global economic system. According to Dr. Williams, there are two other important strategies employed […]
Continue ReadingNATO Strategic Foresight Analysis, Drivers of a Pervasive Competition
Author: NATO Allied Command Transformation Publication Preview The Strategic Foresight Analysis 2023 (SFA23) provides a shared understanding of the EvolvingSecurity Environment to 2043, thus establishing the context for Allied futures thinking. Based on thiscontext, the Future Operating Environment 2024 (FOE24) will address the military problem sets forAllied Warfare Development. FOE24 will also serve as a […]
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AI-Driven Expert-Validated Threat and Foreign Influence Assessments
Speaker: Ms. Jacki Davenport (Seerist) Date: 25 January 2024 Speaker Session Summary Seerist developed an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled threat intelligence platform that utilizes information from open-source resources to identify, monitor, and track global threats. Alongside Deloitte, Seerist also developed the Foreign Influence Risk Index (FIRI), which examines the dynamics of great power competition. Seerist’s AI-enabled […]
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Deterrence Effects of Policing Programs
Author: Dr. Kathleen Kiernan (NEC National Security Systems (NSS)) Publication Preview While there are parallels, the environment in which deterrence occurs for the U.S. Military is vastly different in context than for domestic or international law enforcement. Police can reduce opportunities for crime by intervening before they arise, and deterrence is an even more efficient […]
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Considering How and Why Deterrence Works in Public Health
Author: Dr. Kristina Talbert-Slagle (Yale University) Publication Preview Public health experts often approach “deterrence”—or prevention of behaviors and/or decisions that adversely affect health outcomes—by considering the many factors that influence health behaviors and decision-making. These factors, often called “health determinants,” can be divided into three levels: micro- (individual), meso- (social/community), and macro- (systems). Interventions to […]
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