Defending the United States Against Critical Infrastructure Attacks: A Critical Infrastructure Survey and Hypothetical Campaign of Cascading Impacts

January 2025 No Comments

Speakers: Tom Wingfield & Bridget Kane (RAND) Date: 4 February 2025 Speaker Session Summary Forthcoming! Speaker Session Recording Briefing Materials Biographies:  Tom Wingfield is a senior international and defense researcher in RAND’s Department of Defense & Political Sciences. An international lawyer, his expertise is in the strategic and policy aspects of the cyber domain and […]

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West Africa Exploitable Conditions Model

January 2025 No Comments

Author: Dr. Samuel Henkin (NSI, Inc.) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) Phase III.“ For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The West Africa Exploitable Conditions Model (WAECM) is an empirical, concept-based, system-of systems model tailored to the region of West Africa, […]

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Understanding and Countering China’s Maritime Gray Zone Operations

January 2025 No Comments

Speakers: Dr. Todd Helmus & Dr. Krista Romita Grocholski (RAND) Date: 30 January 2025 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Todd Helmus (RAND) and Dr. Krista Romita Grocholski (RAND) as part of its SMA INDOPACOM Speaker Series.     China is seeking to assert control over and advance its interests in large portions […]

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Russian Subversion, Coercion, and Sabotage throughout Europe

January 2025 No Comments

Speaker: Bojan Pancevski (Wall Street Journal) with Guest Host Jack Gaines (One CA Podcast) Date: 24 January 2025 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Bojan Pancevski (Wall Street Journal) with Guest Host Jack Gaines (One CA Podcast) as part of its SMA EUCOM Speaker Series.     Russian aggression below the threshold of warfare […]

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Who Will We—and They—be on Day 30 or Day 1000 in Deterrence?

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Author: Dr. Nicholas Wright (Intelligent Biology) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview The Joint Concept for Competing (JCC; Feb 2023) states that a ‘competitive mindset also means embracing strategic competition as a persistent and enduring […]

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Russian Leadership Values and Regional Goals in the Arctic

January 2025 No Comments

Author: Dr. Tomas Ries (National Defence College, Stockholm, Sweden) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview Table 1 (see next page) outlines seven areas in which the Russian leadership holds key values in the Arctic and […]

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United States Deterrence Policy: 1944-Present

January 2025 No Comments

Authors: Dr. Asya Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Rosemary Avance (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Sumin Shin (Oklahoma State University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This literature review analyzes […]

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Evolution of Deterrent thinking in USSR and Russia: A Look through Military Reports

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Authors: Dr. Asya Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Skye Cooley (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Rosemary Avance (Oklahoma State University); Dr. Sumin Shin (Oklahoma State University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This comprehensive qualitative analysis […]

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Security Risks of Climate Action

January 2025 No Comments

Speaker: Andrew Gilmour (Berghof Foundation) Date: 15 January 2025 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Andrew Gilmour (Berghof Foundation) as part of its SMA Climate Effects Speaker Series. The negative effects of climate change on societies and their security are well-documented; however, the speed and scale at which climate change mitigation must […]

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Deterrence and escalation maneuver in a two-peer environment: Developing a new escalation management strategy for the United States

January 2025 No Comments

Speaker: Dr. Anna Péczeli (Center for Global Security Research at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) Date: 16 January 2025 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Anna Péczeli (Center for Global Security Research at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) as part of its SMA SDF Speaker Series.    The contemporary nuclear security environment is far […]

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