Perceptual Deterrence
Author: Dr. Tom Tyler (Yale University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This review focuses on research findings about the effectiveness of the perceived risk of sanctions on criminal behavior. The goal of this […]
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International Collaboration in U.S. Integrated Deterrence: A Partner Perspective
Authors: LTG (Ret), Dr. Dennis Gyllensporre (Swedish Defence University); MG (Ret) Bengt Svensson, Swedish Defence University This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview This non-paper, prepared at the Swedish Defence University (SEDU), investigates the dynamics […]
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Escalation Management in the Early Stages of International Crisis
Authors: Dr. Kyle Beardsley (Duke University), Dr. Jonathan Wilkenfeld (START University of Maryland), & Phuong Pham (Duke University) This publication was released as part of the SMA project “21st Century Strategic Deterrence Frameworks.” (SDF) For more information regarding this project, please click here. Publication Preview: This report evaluates how crisis actors respond to adversary actions […]
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Strategic Culture – A Complex Model for a Complex Concept
Speaker: Dr. Larry Kuznar (NSI, Inc.) Date: 19 November 2024 Speaker Session Summary In recent years, strategic culture has regained attention as US policymakers work to integrate deterrence strategies with allies and partners while understanding the strategic cultures of adversaries, like China and Russia. Dr. Kuznar explored the components of an actor’s strategic culture, how […]
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U.S. Military Theories of Victory for a War with the People’s Republic of China
Speakers: Jacob Heim (RAND) & Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga (RAND) Date: 13 November 2024 Speaker Session Summary The United States has not had to seriously consider conflict escalation with a near-peer adversary that could result in a conflict that ends in large-scale destruction since the Cold War. However, it must now consider the potential for escalating toward that exact kind […]
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China’s Options for Taiwan Short of an Invasion
Speakers: Dr. Bonny Lin, Dr. Matthew Funaiole, & Brian Hart (China Power Project, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)) Date: 30 October 2024 Speaker Session Summary A blockade, by contrast, would be significantly more restrictive and kinetic, and would be led by the military. In another difference from a quarantine, there is doctrinal evidence […]
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Dynamic Parity: The Nuclear Strategy We Need
Speakers: Dr. Adam Lowther (National Institute for Deterrence Studies) & Curtis McGiffin (NationalInstitute for Deterrence Studies) Date: 24 October 2024 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Adam Lowther (National Institute for Deterrence Studies) & Curtis McGiffin (National Institute for Deterrence Studies) as part of its SMA “Strategic Deterrence Frameworks” (SDF) Speaker Series. Russia, […]
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American Statecraft and the Challenge of Emerging Powers
Speakers: Dr. Christopher S. Chivvis (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) & BeatrixGeaghan-Breiner (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) Date: 23 October 2024 Speaker Session Summary The United States has primarily focused on China’s geopolitical rise over the past two decades and the implications of a near-peer competitor to US interests. However, several other emerging state powers […]
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The CCP-ification of Pacific Islands: What it Means for U.S. Strategy and What Can Be Done
Speaker: Cleo Paskal (Foundation for the Defense of Democracies) Date: 8 October 2024 Speaker Session Summary China is expanding its influence in many Asia-Pacific countries by offering economic incentives and other forms of “good will,” which Chinese Communist Party (CCP) members use to fosters political corruption. This political corruption allows the CCP to build political […]
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The Origins of the War in Ukraine
Speaker: Michael Kimmage (Catholic University of America) Speaker Session Summary Russia seeks to dominate both Ukraine’s territory and its political future. Dr. Kimmage analyzed Russia’s motivations for initiating the war, as well as the failures of the United States, Europe, and Ukraine in deterring the invasion. He argued that Russia’s goals extend beyond Ukraine’s sovereign […]
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