Will the Coronavirus Fuel Conflict? Forecasting COVID-related State Fragility

August 2020 No Comments

Speakers: Kaplan, O. (University of Denver); Moyer, J. (University of Denver) Date: 19 August 2020 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Oliver Kaplan (University of Denver) and Dr. Jonathan Moyer (University of Denver) as part of its SMA UK MoD Speaker Series. Dr. Kaplan and Dr. Moyer presented their research on how […]

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U.S. Nuclear Policy from the Cold War to 2020—A Comparative Analysis of the Nuclear Posture Reviews

August 2020 No Comments

Speaker: Péczeli, A. (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory [LLNL]) Date: 18 August 2020 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Anna Péczeli (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory [LLNL]) as a part of its SMA STRATCOM Academic Alliance Speaker Series. Dr. Péczeli first stated that the main role of the Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) is for […]

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SMA CENTCOM Panel Discussion—The Gulf and Egypt

August 2020 No Comments

Speakers: Aviles, W. (NSI); Ehrl, M. (Kutztown University); Hinck, R. (Monmouth College); Lee, H. (US Army TRADOC); Polanksy, S. (NSI) Date: 31 March 2020 Panel Description At the request of United States Central Command (USCENTCOM), SMA initiated a study in August 2019 to understand the strategic implications of destabilizing population dynamics within the Central Region. CENTCOM […]

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Russia and the Expiration of the UN Arms Embargo on Iran

August 2020 No Comments

Speaker: Katz, M. (George Mason University) Date: 14 August 2020 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Mark Katz (George Mason University) as part of its SMA CENTCOM/EUCOM Speaker Series. Dr. Katz discussed UN Security Council Resolution 2231 (UNSCR 2231) in detail, which was adopted in support of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of […]

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How COVID-19 Illustrates Key Lessons in Mitigating Serious Risks to National Security

August 2020 No Comments

Speaker: Omand, D. (King’s College, London / Former Director of GCHQ) Date: 13 August 2020 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Sir David Omand (King’s College, London/Former Director of GCHQ) as a part of its SMA UK MoD Speaker Series. Sir David began by stating that the first order national security problems as a […]

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Key Factors Affecting Black Swans and Gray Rhinos in the USCENTCOM AOR

July 2020 No Comments

Authors | Editors: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.); Kuznar, E. (NSI, Inc.) Executive Summary NSI, Inc. interviewed seven subject matter experts and conducted additional background research in support of its analyses on Black Swans, Gray Rhinos, and current thinking about key factors and variables not typically included in political stability models (e.g., climate variables, the influence of illicit networks). The […]

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Winter Is Coming

July 2020 No Comments

Speaker: Winnefeld, J. (USN, Ret.) Date: 5 August 2020 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session presented by ADM James A. Winnefeld, Jr., USN (Ret) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. ADM Winnefeld’s presentation focused on his Proceedings article, entitled “Winter Is Coming.” He first compared the foreboding feeling that accompanies an impending international crisis […]

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Exit from Hegemony: The Unraveling of the American Global Order

July 2020 No Comments

Speakers: Cooley, A. (Columbia University); Nexon, D. (Georgetown University) Date: 4 August 2020 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Dr. Alexander Cooley (Columbia University) and Prof. Daniel Nexon (Georgetown University) as a part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Prof. Nexon began by presenting the key argument from their book, entitled Exit from […]

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A New World Order?: The West, China, and Russia Post-COVID

July 2020 No Comments

Speakers: Giles, K. (Chatham House); Pantucci, R. (RUSI) Date: 29 July 2020 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Mr. Raffaello Pantucci (RUSI) and Mr. Keir Giles (Chatham House) as part of its SMA UK MoD Speaker Series. Mr. Giles first discussed how Russia’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic and the way it […]

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Tackling Gray Rhinos: Managing High-Probability and High-Impact Threats

July 2020 No Comments

Speaker: Ventura, C. (National Intelligence University) Date: 30 July 2020 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session presented by Mr. Christopher Ventura (National Intelligence University) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Mr. Ventura first discussed the origin of the term “gray rhino.” He stated that Dr. Michele Wucker coined the term “gray rhino” in 2012 […]

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