Cold Peace: Avoiding the New Cold War
Speaker: Dr. Michael Doyle (Columbia University) Date: 31 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary US and China are considered by many analysts and scholars to be in a second Cold War. Dr. Doyle specified that there are four types of political relationships—hot war, cold war, cold peace, and warm peace. If countries are in a hot […]
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Russian Nuclear Orthodoxy: Religion, Coercion and the Russian Way of War
Speaker: Prof. Dmitry Adamsky (Reichman University) Date: 19 July 2023 Speaker Session Summary The Kremlin is blending its nuclear discourse, politics, and theological beliefs, changing the domestic perception in Russia regarding just nuclear war and nuclear escalation with the West. Prof. Adamsky stated that the Kremlin has been integrating the Russian Orthodox Church in its […]
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Ethical and National Security Implications of Genetic Weapons
Speaker: Dr. Yelena Biberman (Skidmore College; South Asia Center, Atlantic Council; Davis Center, Harvard University) Date: 24 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Yelena Biberman (Skidmore College) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. At times, biotechnology appears to blend science fiction and reality. The potential warfighting applications of biotechnology […]
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Cyber Persistence and National Security
Speaker: Dr. Michael Fischerkeller (IDA) Date: 23 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Michael Fischerkeller (IDA) as part of its SMA STRATCOM Speaker Series. The cyber domain is an increasingly prevalent theater of competition, and the US must be able to effectively deter opponents using cyber tools and capabilities. Dr. Fischerkeller […]
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Cognitive Threat States of Key Actors and the Psychology of International Crises
Speakers: Dr. Larry Kuznar (NSI, Inc.); Tom Rieger (NSI, Inc.); Bradford Morrison (University of British Columbia) Date: 16 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Larry Kuznar (NSI, Inc.), Mr. Tom Rieger (NSI, Inc.), and Mr. Bradford Morrison (University of British Columbia) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Studies that […]
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Credibility, Organizational Politics, and Crisis Decision Making
Speaker: Don Casler (Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs, Brown University) Date: 17 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary SMA hosted a speaker session with Dr. Don Casler (Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs, Brown University) as part of its SMA General Speaker Series. Civilian and military leaders have always been concerned about credibility and integrity. […]
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Quick Look: Food Security in USAFRICOM
Authors: Bragg, B. (NSI, Inc.) & Astorino-Courtois, A. (NSI, Inc.) This report was produced as part of SMA’s 2022-2023 “Anticipating the Future Operational Environment” (AFOE) Effort. Report Preview This report provides a concise, highly visual overview of the food security subsystem of the AECM (AFRICOM Exploitable Conditions Model). In addition to enabling analysis of causes […]
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AFRICOM Exploitable Conditions Model (AECM) Network Analysis Report
Author: Kuznar, L. (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview The physical, social, political, economic, and cultural systems that comprise the operational environmentinteract in complex ways. The Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Anticipating the Future OperationalEnvironment (AFOE) project models this complexity with special relevance to US national securityconcerns. The AFOE team constructed a generic Global Exploitable Conditions Model (GECM) […]
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Anticipating the Future Operational Environment (AFOE) Sahelian Computational Models
Author: Kuznar , L. (NSI, Inc.) Report Preview The physical, social, political, economic, and cultural systems comprise the operational environment andinteract in complex ways. The Strategic Multilayer Assessment (SMA) Anticipating the Future OperationalEnvironment (AFOE) project models this complexity with special relevance to US national securityconcerns. The AFOE team constructed a generic Global Exploitable Conditions Model […]
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How Strategy Must Align to Strategic Environments: Deterrence and Initiative Persistence
Speakers: Dr. Richard Harknett (University of Cincinnati) Date: 10 May 2023 Speaker Session Summary There have been several strategic paradigm shifts relating to deterrence, coercion, and security across the entire spectrum of conflict and competition. Using the proper deterrence and coercion strategy in the right domain is crucial to success. Dr. Harknett emphasized that the […]
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